In Georgia's 13th congressional district special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Democratic incumbent, a crowded field of candidates appeared on the July 28 all-party ballot under state rules requiring a majority for an outright win without advancing to an August 25 runoff. Trader consensus at 95% for a first-round victor reflects the district's strong Democratic lean, expectations of vote consolidation around leading contenders, and historical patterns in similar special elections where frontrunners often secure majorities amid low turnout or limited Republican opposition. Recent primary dynamics and candidate positioning reinforced this pricing ahead of results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
95% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
95% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.In Georgia's 13th congressional district special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Democratic incumbent, a crowded field of candidates appeared on the July 28 all-party ballot under state rules requiring a majority for an outright win without advancing to an August 25 runoff. Trader consensus at 95% for a first-round victor reflects the district's strong Democratic lean, expectations of vote consolidation around leading contenders, and historical patterns in similar special elections where frontrunners often secure majorities amid low turnout or limited Republican opposition. Recent primary dynamics and candidate positioning reinforced this pricing ahead of results.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
交易量
$398结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.In Georgia's 13th congressional district special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Democratic incumbent, a crowded field of candidates appeared on the July 28 all-party ballot under state rules requiring a majority for an outright win without advancing to an August 25 runoff. Trader consensus at 95% for a first-round victor reflects the district's strong Democratic lean, expectations of vote consolidation around leading contenders, and historical patterns in similar special elections where frontrunners often secure majorities amid low turnout or limited Republican opposition. Recent primary dynamics and candidate positioning reinforced this pricing ahead of results.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
交易量
$398结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In Georgia's 13th congressional district special election to fill the vacancy left by the late Democratic incumbent, a crowded field of candidates appeared on the July 28 all-party ballot under state rules requiring a majority for an outright win without advancing to an August 25 runoff. Trader consensus at 95% for a first-round victor reflects the district's strong Democratic lean, expectations of vote consolidation around leading contenders, and historical patterns in similar special elections where frontrunners often secure majorities amid low turnout or limited Republican opposition. Recent primary dynamics and candidate positioning reinforced this pricing ahead of results.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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