Yassamin Ansari secured unopposed Democratic nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, while Republicans fielded no viable candidate beyond write-ins. The district's D+22 Partisan Voter Index, majority-Latino composition in western Phoenix and surrounding areas, and Ansari's 70.9% victory margin in 2024 underpin trader consensus at 98% for Democrats. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with no competitive Republican opposition on the November 3 ballot. Minor-party entries, including Green and No Labels candidates, register negligible support. A Democratic outcome could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unprecedented national tidal wave capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$50,582 交易量
$50,582 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
98%
共和党
1%
$50,582 交易量
$50,582 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$31,713 交易量
98%
共和党
$18,869 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari secured unopposed Democratic nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, while Republicans fielded no viable candidate beyond write-ins. The district's D+22 Partisan Voter Index, majority-Latino composition in western Phoenix and surrounding areas, and Ansari's 70.9% victory margin in 2024 underpin trader consensus at 98% for Democrats. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with no competitive Republican opposition on the November 3 ballot. Minor-party entries, including Green and No Labels candidates, register negligible support. A Democratic outcome could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unprecedented national tidal wave capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$50,582结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari secured unopposed Democratic nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, while Republicans fielded no viable candidate beyond write-ins. The district's D+22 Partisan Voter Index, majority-Latino composition in western Phoenix and surrounding areas, and Ansari's 70.9% victory margin in 2024 underpin trader consensus at 98% for Democrats. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with no competitive Republican opposition on the November 3 ballot. Minor-party entries, including Green and No Labels candidates, register negligible support. A Democratic outcome could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unprecedented national tidal wave capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$50,582结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yassamin Ansari secured unopposed Democratic nomination in the July 21, 2026 primary for Arizona's 3rd Congressional District, while Republicans fielded no viable candidate beyond write-ins. The district's D+22 Partisan Voter Index, majority-Latino composition in western Phoenix and surrounding areas, and Ansari's 70.9% victory margin in 2024 underpin trader consensus at 98% for Democrats. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with no competitive Republican opposition on the November 3 ballot. Minor-party entries, including Green and No Labels candidates, register negligible support. A Democratic outcome could shift only under extraordinary circumstances such as a major scandal, incumbent health event, or unprecedented national tidal wave capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan advantage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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