Delaware's at-large House seat features strong Democratic incumbency with Sarah McBride seeking a second term after her 2024 victory by roughly 16 points in the state's sole congressional district. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have maintained Solid or Safe Democratic ratings, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Republican primary activity ahead of the September 15 contest. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with this structural advantage and absence of competitive challengers. Potential shifts could arise from a late primary upset producing a high-profile Republican nominee, an unforeseen national political wave, or significant developments affecting the incumbent's standing before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$18,412 交易量
$18,412 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$18,412 交易量
$18,412 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$5,250 交易量
95%
共和党
$13,162 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat features strong Democratic incumbency with Sarah McBride seeking a second term after her 2024 victory by roughly 16 points in the state's sole congressional district. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have maintained Solid or Safe Democratic ratings, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Republican primary activity ahead of the September 15 contest. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with this structural advantage and absence of competitive challengers. Potential shifts could arise from a late primary upset producing a high-profile Republican nominee, an unforeseen national political wave, or significant developments affecting the incumbent's standing before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$18,412结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat features strong Democratic incumbency with Sarah McBride seeking a second term after her 2024 victory by roughly 16 points in the state's sole congressional district. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have maintained Solid or Safe Democratic ratings, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Republican primary activity ahead of the September 15 contest. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with this structural advantage and absence of competitive challengers. Potential shifts could arise from a late primary upset producing a high-profile Republican nominee, an unforeseen national political wave, or significant developments affecting the incumbent's standing before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$18,412结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large House seat features strong Democratic incumbency with Sarah McBride seeking a second term after her 2024 victory by roughly 16 points in the state's sole congressional district. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have maintained Solid or Safe Democratic ratings, reflecting consistent voter patterns and limited Republican primary activity ahead of the September 15 contest. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic probability aligns with this structural advantage and absence of competitive challengers. Potential shifts could arise from a late primary upset producing a high-profile Republican nominee, an unforeseen national political wave, or significant developments affecting the incumbent's standing before November 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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