Georgia's 13th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, has delivered Democratic general election victories exceeding 70% since 2003, including Kamala Harris's 71%-29% 2024 presidential margin, anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House winner despite the April 22 death of longtime incumbent David Scott opening the seat. The crowded Democratic primary on May 19—featuring top fundraisers like state Rep. Jasmine Clark ($1.1 million raised) and Everton Blair Jr. ($707,000)—signals robust party engagement ahead of early voting, while Republican Jonathan Chavez remains the lone nominee after his 72%-28% 2024 loss. Scenarios challenging this include a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, suppressed turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers and historical base rates make a GOP upset improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$21,439 交易量
$21,439 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
4%
$21,439 交易量
$21,439 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,024 交易量
95%
共和党
$15,414 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 13th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, has delivered Democratic general election victories exceeding 70% since 2003, including Kamala Harris's 71%-29% 2024 presidential margin, anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House winner despite the April 22 death of longtime incumbent David Scott opening the seat. The crowded Democratic primary on May 19—featuring top fundraisers like state Rep. Jasmine Clark ($1.1 million raised) and Everton Blair Jr. ($707,000)—signals robust party engagement ahead of early voting, while Republican Jonathan Chavez remains the lone nominee after his 72%-28% 2024 loss. Scenarios challenging this include a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, suppressed turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers and historical base rates make a GOP upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$21,439结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 13th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, has delivered Democratic general election victories exceeding 70% since 2003, including Kamala Harris's 71%-29% 2024 presidential margin, anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House winner despite the April 22 death of longtime incumbent David Scott opening the seat. The crowded Democratic primary on May 19—featuring top fundraisers like state Rep. Jasmine Clark ($1.1 million raised) and Everton Blair Jr. ($707,000)—signals robust party engagement ahead of early voting, while Republican Jonathan Chavez remains the lone nominee after his 72%-28% 2024 loss. Scenarios challenging this include a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, suppressed turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers and historical base rates make a GOP upset improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,439结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 13th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, has delivered Democratic general election victories exceeding 70% since 2003, including Kamala Harris's 71%-29% 2024 presidential margin, anchoring trader consensus at 94.5% for a Democratic House winner despite the April 22 death of longtime incumbent David Scott opening the seat. The crowded Democratic primary on May 19—featuring top fundraisers like state Rep. Jasmine Clark ($1.1 million raised) and Everton Blair Jr. ($707,000)—signals robust party engagement ahead of early voting, while Republican Jonathan Chavez remains the lone nominee after his 72%-28% 2024 loss. Scenarios challenging this include a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, suppressed turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave, though structural barriers and historical base rates make a GOP upset improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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