The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 18 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. The open seat following the death of longtime Representative David Scott has not altered this dynamic, as Democratic primary voters selected state Representative Jasmine Clark to face Republican Jonathan Chavez, who previously captured under 30 percent of the vote. High Democratic registration and turnout patterns in the Atlanta-area suburbs further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle development, such as a candidate withdrawal due to health or ethics issues, an unusually large swing in national political conditions, or unexpected changes in voter mobilization that exceed historical precedents in this solidly partisan district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,472 交易量
$35,472 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
$35,472 交易量
$35,472 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$16,214 交易量
96%
共和党
$19,259 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 18 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. The open seat following the death of longtime Representative David Scott has not altered this dynamic, as Democratic primary voters selected state Representative Jasmine Clark to face Republican Jonathan Chavez, who previously captured under 30 percent of the vote. High Democratic registration and turnout patterns in the Atlanta-area suburbs further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle development, such as a candidate withdrawal due to health or ethics issues, an unusually large swing in national political conditions, or unexpected changes in voter mobilization that exceed historical precedents in this solidly partisan district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$35,472结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 18 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. The open seat following the death of longtime Representative David Scott has not altered this dynamic, as Democratic primary voters selected state Representative Jasmine Clark to face Republican Jonathan Chavez, who previously captured under 30 percent of the vote. High Democratic registration and turnout patterns in the Atlanta-area suburbs further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle development, such as a candidate withdrawal due to health or ethics issues, an unusually large swing in national political conditions, or unexpected changes in voter mobilization that exceed historical precedents in this solidly partisan district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,472结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and a partisan voting index favoring the party by roughly 18 points, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus for a Democratic winner in the November 2026 general election. The open seat following the death of longtime Representative David Scott has not altered this dynamic, as Democratic primary voters selected state Representative Jasmine Clark to face Republican Jonathan Chavez, who previously captured under 30 percent of the vote. High Democratic registration and turnout patterns in the Atlanta-area suburbs further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require a major late-cycle development, such as a candidate withdrawal due to health or ethics issues, an unusually large swing in national political conditions, or unexpected changes in voter mobilization that exceed historical precedents in this solidly partisan district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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