A crowded field of eight Republicans vying for the nomination in Florida’s redrawn 9th Congressional District has produced a tight contest ahead of the August 18 primary, with trader pricing reflecting a four-way statistical tie in recent Victory Insights polling. Ben Butler, Dan Green, Jorge Martinez, and Thomas Chalifoux each poll in the low-to-mid teens among likely GOP voters, well within the margin of error, while the remaining candidates trail far behind. Shared emphasis on affordability, cost of living, and housing costs has limited differentiation, and the absence of an incumbent or dominant endorsement has kept momentum fragmented across Central Florida’s diverse electorate. Late voter mobilization, targeted turnout in key counties, or any final debate standout could still shift support in the closing hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于本·巴特勒 31.1%
丹·格林 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.2%
托马斯·查利福 19.7%
$129,752 交易量
$129,752 交易量

本·巴特勒
31%

丹·格林
29%

Jorge Martinez
23%

托马斯·查利福
20%

贾斯汀·斯托里
<1%

霍华德·史蒂文·兰斯
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

马库斯·卡特
<1%

史蒂夫·兰斯
<1%
本·巴特勒 31.1%
丹·格林 29%
Jorge Martinez 23.2%
托马斯·查利福 19.7%
$129,752 交易量
$129,752 交易量

本·巴特勒
31%

丹·格林
29%

Jorge Martinez
23%

托马斯·查利福
20%

贾斯汀·斯托里
<1%

霍华德·史蒂文·兰斯
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

马库斯·卡特
<1%

史蒂夫·兰斯
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间: Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A crowded field of eight Republicans vying for the nomination in Florida’s redrawn 9th Congressional District has produced a tight contest ahead of the August 18 primary, with trader pricing reflecting a four-way statistical tie in recent Victory Insights polling. Ben Butler, Dan Green, Jorge Martinez, and Thomas Chalifoux each poll in the low-to-mid teens among likely GOP voters, well within the margin of error, while the remaining candidates trail far behind. Shared emphasis on affordability, cost of living, and housing costs has limited differentiation, and the absence of an incumbent or dominant endorsement has kept momentum fragmented across Central Florida’s diverse electorate. Late voter mobilization, targeted turnout in key counties, or any final debate standout could still shift support in the closing hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题