Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. Georgia's 4th congressional district has consistently delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles, reflecting strong partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Under state rules requiring a majority for an outright general-election victory on November 3, 2026, these factors produce trader consensus around a first-round win. No late developments—such as candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout patterns—have altered the expected outcome, keeping the probability of a runoff low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
95% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
95% 概率
最新
最新
2026-11-03
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. Georgia's 4th congressional district has consistently delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles, reflecting strong partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Under state rules requiring a majority for an outright general-election victory on November 3, 2026, these factors produce trader consensus around a first-round win. No late developments—such as candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout patterns—have altered the expected outcome, keeping the probability of a runoff low.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
交易量
$937结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. Georgia's 4th congressional district has consistently delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles, reflecting strong partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Under state rules requiring a majority for an outright general-election victory on November 3, 2026, these factors produce trader consensus around a first-round win. No late developments—such as candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout patterns—have altered the expected outcome, keeping the probability of a runoff low.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-04 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-04 House election.
交易量
$937结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 79% of the vote against two challengers, while Republican James Duffie advanced unopposed. Georgia's 4th congressional district has consistently delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70% in recent cycles, reflecting strong partisan composition and limited Republican infrastructure. Under state rules requiring a majority for an outright general-election victory on November 3, 2026, these factors produce trader consensus around a first-round win. No late developments—such as candidate withdrawals, major endorsements, or shifts in turnout patterns—have altered the expected outcome, keeping the probability of a runoff low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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