Trump's position as president remains secure through the end of 2026 due to structural barriers against removal. Impeachment requires House action and a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, thresholds that remain distant given partisan alignments and limited cross-aisle support even amid approval ratings hovering in the low 40s. No credible signs of resignation, health-related incapacity under the 25th Amendment, or legal proceedings capable of forcing an exit have emerged. Ongoing executive actions, including personnel changes at independent agencies and policy implementation, reflect continued exercise of presidential authority without disruption. Traders assign only single-digit probability to an early departure, consistent with historical patterns where second-term presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary events. Upcoming 2026 midterms and any related legislative shifts could influence dynamics but fall short of altering removal prospects before January 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$10,748,298 交易量
$10,748,298 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$10,748,298 交易量
$10,748,298 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's position as president remains secure through the end of 2026 due to structural barriers against removal. Impeachment requires House action and a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, thresholds that remain distant given partisan alignments and limited cross-aisle support even amid approval ratings hovering in the low 40s. No credible signs of resignation, health-related incapacity under the 25th Amendment, or legal proceedings capable of forcing an exit have emerged. Ongoing executive actions, including personnel changes at independent agencies and policy implementation, reflect continued exercise of presidential authority without disruption. Traders assign only single-digit probability to an early departure, consistent with historical patterns where second-term presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary events. Upcoming 2026 midterms and any related legislative shifts could influence dynamics but fall short of altering removal prospects before January 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
交易量
$10,748,298结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's position as president remains secure through the end of 2026 due to structural barriers against removal. Impeachment requires House action and a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, thresholds that remain distant given partisan alignments and limited cross-aisle support even amid approval ratings hovering in the low 40s. No credible signs of resignation, health-related incapacity under the 25th Amendment, or legal proceedings capable of forcing an exit have emerged. Ongoing executive actions, including personnel changes at independent agencies and policy implementation, reflect continued exercise of presidential authority without disruption. Traders assign only single-digit probability to an early departure, consistent with historical patterns where second-term presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary events. Upcoming 2026 midterms and any related legislative shifts could influence dynamics but fall short of altering removal prospects before January 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,748,298结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's position as president remains secure through the end of 2026 due to structural barriers against removal. Impeachment requires House action and a two-thirds Senate vote for conviction, thresholds that remain distant given partisan alignments and limited cross-aisle support even amid approval ratings hovering in the low 40s. No credible signs of resignation, health-related incapacity under the 25th Amendment, or legal proceedings capable of forcing an exit have emerged. Ongoing executive actions, including personnel changes at independent agencies and policy implementation, reflect continued exercise of presidential authority without disruption. Traders assign only single-digit probability to an early departure, consistent with historical patterns where second-term presidents complete their terms absent extraordinary events. Upcoming 2026 midterms and any related legislative shifts could influence dynamics but fall short of altering removal prospects before January 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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