US and Israeli airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury began on February 28, 2026, targeting Iranian military infrastructure, missiles, air defenses, and leadership, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Operations have emphasized air superiority, naval strikes, and degradation of ballistic capabilities rather than ground forces, with a conditional ceasefire in April followed by resumed US strikes in July amid Strait of Hormuz disputes. These developments reflect administration priorities centered on nuclear and missile programs through targeted strikes and regional deterrence, alongside mediation efforts, without commitment of large-scale troop deployments. High costs, logistical demands, and focus on air and naval pressure have sustained trader consensus against a US ground invasion by the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
17% 概率
$58,580,881 交易量
$58,580,881 交易量
2026-12-31
是
17% 概率
$58,580,881 交易量
$58,580,881 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US and Israeli airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury began on February 28, 2026, targeting Iranian military infrastructure, missiles, air defenses, and leadership, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Operations have emphasized air superiority, naval strikes, and degradation of ballistic capabilities rather than ground forces, with a conditional ceasefire in April followed by resumed US strikes in July amid Strait of Hormuz disputes. These developments reflect administration priorities centered on nuclear and missile programs through targeted strikes and regional deterrence, alongside mediation efforts, without commitment of large-scale troop deployments. High costs, logistical demands, and focus on air and naval pressure have sustained trader consensus against a US ground invasion by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
交易量
$58,580,881结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.US and Israeli airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury began on February 28, 2026, targeting Iranian military infrastructure, missiles, air defenses, and leadership, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Operations have emphasized air superiority, naval strikes, and degradation of ballistic capabilities rather than ground forces, with a conditional ceasefire in April followed by resumed US strikes in July amid Strait of Hormuz disputes. These developments reflect administration priorities centered on nuclear and missile programs through targeted strikes and regional deterrence, alongside mediation efforts, without commitment of large-scale troop deployments. High costs, logistical demands, and focus on air and naval pressure have sustained trader consensus against a US ground invasion by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$58,580,881结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli airstrikes under Operation Epic Fury began on February 28, 2026, targeting Iranian military infrastructure, missiles, air defenses, and leadership, including the death of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Operations have emphasized air superiority, naval strikes, and degradation of ballistic capabilities rather than ground forces, with a conditional ceasefire in April followed by resumed US strikes in July amid Strait of Hormuz disputes. These developments reflect administration priorities centered on nuclear and missile programs through targeted strikes and regional deterrence, alongside mediation efforts, without commitment of large-scale troop deployments. High costs, logistical demands, and focus on air and naval pressure have sustained trader consensus against a US ground invasion by the end of 2026.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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