Ongoing indirect US-Iran diplomacy, mediated by Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, centers on compliance with the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and shipping access through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August, talks remain stalled, with Iran denying direct negotiations and focusing instead on Oman-mediated discussions, while US officials report continued technical exchanges and warn of a narrowing window for progress. Pakistan’s recent high-level outreach in Tehran underscores active mediation efforts. Any higher-level round before December 31 would likely hinge on de-escalation steps, mediator breakthroughs, or shifts in enforcement of the existing ceasefire framework. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled technical channels will escalate to a new attended round by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$144,762 交易量
2026-12-31
Steve Witkoff
63%
贾里德·库什纳
65%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
51%
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
45%
J.D. 万斯
41%
伊沙克·达尔
38%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼
35%
穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫
45%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
31%
拉斐尔·格罗西
34%
马可·鲁比奥
43%
尼克·斯图尔特
22%
卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪
21%
巴德尔·本·哈马德·阿尔布赛义迪
16%
唐纳德·特朗普
12%
埃斯梅尔·卡阿尼
10%
艾哈迈德·瓦希迪
7%
彼特·赫格塞思
6%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
5%
$144,762 交易量
Steve Witkoff
$6,979 交易量
63%
贾里德·库什纳
$7,972 交易量
65%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$8,544 交易量
51%
阿巴斯·阿拉格齐
$5,190 交易量
45%
J.D. 万斯
$11,097 交易量
41%
伊沙克·达尔
$5,470 交易量
38%
穆罕默德·本·阿卜杜勒拉赫曼·阿勒萨尼
$8,645 交易量
35%
穆罕默德·巴盖尔·加利巴夫
$11,231 交易量
45%
马苏德·佩泽什基安
$7,906 交易量
31%
拉斐尔·格罗西
$5,824 交易量
34%
马可·鲁比奥
$7,437 交易量
43%
尼克·斯图尔特
$1,707 交易量
22%
卡泽姆·加里巴巴迪
$14,348 交易量
21%
巴德尔·本·哈马德·阿尔布赛义迪
$9,410 交易量
16%
唐纳德·特朗普
$59 交易量
12%
埃斯梅尔·卡阿尼
$9,113 交易量
10%
艾哈迈德·瓦希迪
$2,181 交易量
7%
彼特·赫格塞思
$2,478 交易量
6%
穆吉塔巴·哈梅内伊
$19,171 交易量
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran diplomacy, mediated by Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, centers on compliance with the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and shipping access through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August, talks remain stalled, with Iran denying direct negotiations and focusing instead on Oman-mediated discussions, while US officials report continued technical exchanges and warn of a narrowing window for progress. Pakistan’s recent high-level outreach in Tehran underscores active mediation efforts. Any higher-level round before December 31 would likely hinge on de-escalation steps, mediator breakthroughs, or shifts in enforcement of the existing ceasefire framework. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled technical channels will escalate to a new attended round by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
交易量
$144,762结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect US-Iran diplomacy, mediated by Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, centers on compliance with the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and shipping access through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August, talks remain stalled, with Iran denying direct negotiations and focusing instead on Oman-mediated discussions, while US officials report continued technical exchanges and warn of a narrowing window for progress. Pakistan’s recent high-level outreach in Tehran underscores active mediation efforts. Any higher-level round before December 31 would likely hinge on de-escalation steps, mediator breakthroughs, or shifts in enforcement of the existing ceasefire framework. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled technical channels will escalate to a new attended round by year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$144,762结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect US-Iran diplomacy, mediated by Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman, centers on compliance with the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, nuclear issues, sanctions relief, and shipping access through the Strait of Hormuz. As of mid-August, talks remain stalled, with Iran denying direct negotiations and focusing instead on Oman-mediated discussions, while US officials report continued technical exchanges and warn of a narrowing window for progress. Pakistan’s recent high-level outreach in Tehran underscores active mediation efforts. Any higher-level round before December 31 would likely hinge on de-escalation steps, mediator breakthroughs, or shifts in enforcement of the existing ceasefire framework. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over whether stalled technical channels will escalate to a new attended round by year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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