Recent polling consistently shows Magdalena Andersson's Social Democrats and the broader centre-left opposition bloc holding a narrow lead over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's governing alliance ahead of the 13 September 2026 general election. A late-July to mid-August Demoskop survey placed the opposition at 50.6% versus 46.9% for the right-wing Tidö parties, with the Social Democrats on 30.2%—results that align with the market's strong consensus around Andersson. Traders price in the likelihood of her returning as prime minister should these trends hold or widen, while assigning Kristersson a residual chance tied to any late swing, coalition arithmetic, or turnout shifts. Smaller-party leaders remain marginal given bloc structures and historical patterns of government formation in the Riksdag.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于玛格达莱娜·安德松 84%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松 16%
埃巴·布什 1.0%
吉米·奥克松 <1%
$3,626,929 交易量
$3,626,929 交易量
玛格达莱娜·安德松
84%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松
16%
埃巴·布什
1%
吉米·奥克松
1%
努希·达德戈斯塔尔
<1%
安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%
阿曼达·林德
<1%
西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%
丹尼尔·赫尔登
<1%
伊丽莎白·坦德·林奎斯特
<1%
玛格达莱娜·安德松 84%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松 16%
埃巴·布什 1.0%
吉米·奥克松 <1%
$3,626,929 交易量
$3,626,929 交易量
玛格达莱娜·安德松
84%
乌尔夫·克里斯特松
16%
埃巴·布什
1%
吉米·奥克松
1%
努希·达德戈斯塔尔
<1%
安娜-卡琳·哈特
<1%
阿曼达·林德
<1%
西蒙娜·莫哈姆松
<1%
丹尼尔·赫尔登
<1%
伊丽莎白·坦德·林奎斯特
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling consistently shows Magdalena Andersson's Social Democrats and the broader centre-left opposition bloc holding a narrow lead over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's governing alliance ahead of the 13 September 2026 general election. A late-July to mid-August Demoskop survey placed the opposition at 50.6% versus 46.9% for the right-wing Tidö parties, with the Social Democrats on 30.2%—results that align with the market's strong consensus around Andersson. Traders price in the likelihood of her returning as prime minister should these trends hold or widen, while assigning Kristersson a residual chance tied to any late swing, coalition arithmetic, or turnout shifts. Smaller-party leaders remain marginal given bloc structures and historical patterns of government formation in the Riksdag.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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