Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate running as an independent, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting his strong position ahead of the November 28, 2026 election. His re-election prospects benefit from incumbency advantages, including a June 2026 award for improved administrative satisfaction ratings and continuity in local governance. The Democratic Progressive Party's nominee, Chen Pin-an, trails significantly at 4.7%, consistent with limited polling visibility and the challenges opposition candidates face against an established officeholder in this county. Multiple other candidates appear at lower or placeholder levels, underscoring a field where vote fragmentation and historical independent success in Miaoli have shaped trader assessments of likely outcomes. No major recent legal or campaign developments have materially altered this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2027-06-30
钟东锦
89%
陈品安
5%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
钟东锦
$643 交易量
89%
陈品安
$804 交易量
5%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate running as an independent, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting his strong position ahead of the November 28, 2026 election. His re-election prospects benefit from incumbency advantages, including a June 2026 award for improved administrative satisfaction ratings and continuity in local governance. The Democratic Progressive Party's nominee, Chen Pin-an, trails significantly at 4.7%, consistent with limited polling visibility and the challenges opposition candidates face against an established officeholder in this county. Multiple other candidates appear at lower or placeholder levels, underscoring a field where vote fragmentation and historical independent success in Miaoli have shaped trader assessments of likely outcomes. No major recent legal or campaign developments have materially altered this positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,447结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate running as an independent, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting his strong position ahead of the November 28, 2026 election. His re-election prospects benefit from incumbency advantages, including a June 2026 award for improved administrative satisfaction ratings and continuity in local governance. The Democratic Progressive Party's nominee, Chen Pin-an, trails significantly at 4.7%, consistent with limited polling visibility and the challenges opposition candidates face against an established officeholder in this county. Multiple other candidates appear at lower or placeholder levels, underscoring a field where vote fragmentation and historical independent success in Miaoli have shaped trader assessments of likely outcomes. No major recent legal or campaign developments have materially altered this positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$1,447结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chung Tung-chin, the incumbent Miaoli County magistrate running as an independent, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting his strong position ahead of the November 28, 2026 election. His re-election prospects benefit from incumbency advantages, including a June 2026 award for improved administrative satisfaction ratings and continuity in local governance. The Democratic Progressive Party's nominee, Chen Pin-an, trails significantly at 4.7%, consistent with limited polling visibility and the challenges opposition candidates face against an established officeholder in this county. Multiple other candidates appear at lower or placeholder levels, underscoring a field where vote fragmentation and historical independent success in Miaoli have shaped trader assessments of likely outcomes. No major recent legal or campaign developments have materially altered this positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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