**Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80.5% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to the KMT-TPP alliance that consolidated opposition support behind his candidacy after he defeated Huang Kuo-chang in a joint primary in April 2026.** Huang suspended his bid and endorsed Lee, who received the KMT nomination and benefits from the outgoing incumbent Hou Yu-ih’s organizational backing in this open-seat contest. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, trails at 20.5% amid mixed polling that shows a narrow race—some surveys give her a slight lead while others favor Lee by several points. Traders appear to price in the structural edge from unified pan-blue coordination and broader resources against a divided or less consolidated DPP effort ahead of the November 28 vote. Huang remains at just 0.2% following his withdrawal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于李四川 81%
苏巧慧 21%
黄国昌 <1%
$10,994 交易量
$10,994 交易量
2027-06-30
李四川
81%
苏巧慧
21%
黄国昌
<1%
李四川 81%
苏巧慧 21%
黄国昌 <1%
$10,994 交易量
$10,994 交易量
2027-06-30
李四川
$2,231 交易量
81%
苏巧慧
$7,617 交易量
21%
黄国昌
$1,146 交易量
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80.5% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to the KMT-TPP alliance that consolidated opposition support behind his candidacy after he defeated Huang Kuo-chang in a joint primary in April 2026.** Huang suspended his bid and endorsed Lee, who received the KMT nomination and benefits from the outgoing incumbent Hou Yu-ih’s organizational backing in this open-seat contest. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, trails at 20.5% amid mixed polling that shows a narrow race—some surveys give her a slight lead while others favor Lee by several points. Traders appear to price in the structural edge from unified pan-blue coordination and broader resources against a divided or less consolidated DPP effort ahead of the November 28 vote. Huang remains at just 0.2% following his withdrawal.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
交易量
$10,994结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80.5% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to the KMT-TPP alliance that consolidated opposition support behind his candidacy after he defeated Huang Kuo-chang in a joint primary in April 2026.** Huang suspended his bid and endorsed Lee, who received the KMT nomination and benefits from the outgoing incumbent Hou Yu-ih’s organizational backing in this open-seat contest. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, trails at 20.5% amid mixed polling that shows a narrow race—some surveys give her a slight lead while others favor Lee by several points. Traders appear to price in the structural edge from unified pan-blue coordination and broader resources against a divided or less consolidated DPP effort ahead of the November 28 vote. Huang remains at just 0.2% following his withdrawal.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$10,994结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET**Lee Shu-chuan holds an 80.5% implied probability in the New Taipei mayoral market due to the KMT-TPP alliance that consolidated opposition support behind his candidacy after he defeated Huang Kuo-chang in a joint primary in April 2026.** Huang suspended his bid and endorsed Lee, who received the KMT nomination and benefits from the outgoing incumbent Hou Yu-ih’s organizational backing in this open-seat contest. Su Chiao-hui, the DPP nominee, trails at 20.5% amid mixed polling that shows a narrow race—some surveys give her a slight lead while others favor Lee by several points. Traders appear to price in the structural edge from unified pan-blue coordination and broader resources against a divided or less consolidated DPP effort ahead of the November 28 vote. Huang remains at just 0.2% following his withdrawal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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