Recent polls have propelled Labour Party to a consistent lead over National Party in party vote under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system, positioning traders to price Labour at 64% for securing the most seats in the November 7, 2026, general election. The latest Talbot Mills survey (May 1–10) shows Labour at 36% versus National's 29%, while Taxpayers' Union–Curia (May 3–7) has Labour at 32% and National at 30%, reflecting National's slide to historic lows amid leadership concerns for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon. Roy Morgan (late April) and 1News–Verian (mid-April) polls reinforce Labour's edge of 2–8 points, with blocs nearly tied at 48% each but Labour projected for the largest share of the 120 seats. Minor parties like Greens, New Zealand First, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori trail far behind, limiting coalition paths. Pre-budget announcements and economic pressures could shift dynamics ahead of voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Labour Party 64%
National Party 35%
New Zealand First Party 1.0%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
35%
Labour Party
64%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
1%
Labour Party 64%
National Party 35%
New Zealand First Party 1.0%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
最新
最新
2026-11-07
National Party
$909 交易量
35%
Labour Party
$948 交易量
64%
Green Party
$269 交易量
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$279 交易量
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$259 交易量
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$254 交易量
1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls have propelled Labour Party to a consistent lead over National Party in party vote under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system, positioning traders to price Labour at 64% for securing the most seats in the November 7, 2026, general election. The latest Talbot Mills survey (May 1–10) shows Labour at 36% versus National's 29%, while Taxpayers' Union–Curia (May 3–7) has Labour at 32% and National at 30%, reflecting National's slide to historic lows amid leadership concerns for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon. Roy Morgan (late April) and 1News–Verian (mid-April) polls reinforce Labour's edge of 2–8 points, with blocs nearly tied at 48% each but Labour projected for the largest share of the 120 seats. Minor parties like Greens, New Zealand First, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori trail far behind, limiting coalition paths. Pre-budget announcements and economic pressures could shift dynamics ahead of voting.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
交易量
$2,917结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls have propelled Labour Party to a consistent lead over National Party in party vote under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system, positioning traders to price Labour at 64% for securing the most seats in the November 7, 2026, general election. The latest Talbot Mills survey (May 1–10) shows Labour at 36% versus National's 29%, while Taxpayers' Union–Curia (May 3–7) has Labour at 32% and National at 30%, reflecting National's slide to historic lows amid leadership concerns for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon. Roy Morgan (late April) and 1News–Verian (mid-April) polls reinforce Labour's edge of 2–8 points, with blocs nearly tied at 48% each but Labour projected for the largest share of the 120 seats. Minor parties like Greens, New Zealand First, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori trail far behind, limiting coalition paths. Pre-budget announcements and economic pressures could shift dynamics ahead of voting.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
交易量
$2,917结束日期
2026-11-07市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls have propelled Labour Party to a consistent lead over National Party in party vote under New Zealand's mixed-member proportional (MMP) system, positioning traders to price Labour at 64% for securing the most seats in the November 7, 2026, general election. The latest Talbot Mills survey (May 1–10) shows Labour at 36% versus National's 29%, while Taxpayers' Union–Curia (May 3–7) has Labour at 32% and National at 30%, reflecting National's slide to historic lows amid leadership concerns for Prime Minister Christopher Luxon. Roy Morgan (late April) and 1News–Verian (mid-April) polls reinforce Labour's edge of 2–8 points, with blocs nearly tied at 48% each but Labour projected for the largest share of the 120 seats. Minor parties like Greens, New Zealand First, ACT, and Te Pāti Māori trail far behind, limiting coalition paths. Pre-budget announcements and economic pressures could shift dynamics ahead of voting.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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