Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 87% implied probability in the market for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in an open seat after the incumbent’s term limit. The DPP’s Chen Ying, an incumbent legislator with indigenous Puyuma ties in a county where roughly one-quarter of voters share that background, sits at 10% as the primary challenger, though coordination among opposition candidates has narrowed her path. Recent September 2026 questioning of councilors in a road-widening investigation tied to Wu’s family has introduced scrutiny without materially shifting trader consensus, as historical KMT performance and limited polling momentum continue to anchor pricing ahead of formal candidate registration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于吴秀华 87%
陈莹 10.0%
李吴应芝 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
吴秀华
87%
陈莹
10%
李吴应芝
<1%
吴秀华 87%
陈莹 10.0%
李吴应芝 <1%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
吴秀华
$3,990 交易量
87%
陈莹
$4,188 交易量
10%
李吴应芝
$1,124 交易量
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 87% implied probability in the market for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in an open seat after the incumbent’s term limit. The DPP’s Chen Ying, an incumbent legislator with indigenous Puyuma ties in a county where roughly one-quarter of voters share that background, sits at 10% as the primary challenger, though coordination among opposition candidates has narrowed her path. Recent September 2026 questioning of councilors in a road-widening investigation tied to Wu’s family has introduced scrutiny without materially shifting trader consensus, as historical KMT performance and limited polling momentum continue to anchor pricing ahead of formal candidate registration.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
交易量
$9,302结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 87% implied probability in the market for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in an open seat after the incumbent’s term limit. The DPP’s Chen Ying, an incumbent legislator with indigenous Puyuma ties in a county where roughly one-quarter of voters share that background, sits at 10% as the primary challenger, though coordination among opposition candidates has narrowed her path. Recent September 2026 questioning of councilors in a road-widening investigation tied to Wu’s family has introduced scrutiny without materially shifting trader consensus, as historical KMT performance and limited polling momentum continue to anchor pricing ahead of formal candidate registration.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$9,302结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETWu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 87% implied probability in the market for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s longstanding KMT structural advantage in an open seat after the incumbent’s term limit. The DPP’s Chen Ying, an incumbent legislator with indigenous Puyuma ties in a county where roughly one-quarter of voters share that background, sits at 10% as the primary challenger, though coordination among opposition candidates has narrowed her path. Recent September 2026 questioning of councilors in a road-widening investigation tied to Wu’s family has introduced scrutiny without materially shifting trader consensus, as historical KMT performance and limited polling momentum continue to anchor pricing ahead of formal candidate registration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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