Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang nominee, holds a strong position in the November 2026 local elections due to his established record since 2022 and party organizational support. Recent polling, including a Mirror Media survey showing him narrowly ahead of Democratic Progressive Party challenger Tung Tzu-wei with substantial undecided voters, reflects a competitive but incumbent-favored contest. Hsieh's survival of a prior recall effort has reinforced trader consensus around his reelection prospects. Tung Tzu-wei's nomination as the main opposition candidate introduces standard two-party dynamics, yet structural advantages for the sitting mayor and limited late-cycle shifts keep his odds lower. Multiple other listed contenders and the broad "Other" category remain distant in the current pricing, consistent with historical patterns where minor candidates rarely disrupt major-party outcomes in Taiwan municipal races. Upcoming candidate registration in late August offers a final procedural milestone before the November vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2027-06-30
谢国樑
85%
童子瑋
9%
最新
最新
2027-06-30
谢国樑
$875 交易量
85%
童子瑋
$315 交易量
9%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang nominee, holds a strong position in the November 2026 local elections due to his established record since 2022 and party organizational support. Recent polling, including a Mirror Media survey showing him narrowly ahead of Democratic Progressive Party challenger Tung Tzu-wei with substantial undecided voters, reflects a competitive but incumbent-favored contest. Hsieh's survival of a prior recall effort has reinforced trader consensus around his reelection prospects. Tung Tzu-wei's nomination as the main opposition candidate introduces standard two-party dynamics, yet structural advantages for the sitting mayor and limited late-cycle shifts keep his odds lower. Multiple other listed contenders and the broad "Other" category remain distant in the current pricing, consistent with historical patterns where minor candidates rarely disrupt major-party outcomes in Taiwan municipal races. Upcoming candidate registration in late August offers a final procedural milestone before the November vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ET
交易量
$1,190结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang nominee, holds a strong position in the November 2026 local elections due to his established record since 2022 and party organizational support. Recent polling, including a Mirror Media survey showing him narrowly ahead of Democratic Progressive Party challenger Tung Tzu-wei with substantial undecided voters, reflects a competitive but incumbent-favored contest. Hsieh's survival of a prior recall effort has reinforced trader consensus around his reelection prospects. Tung Tzu-wei's nomination as the main opposition candidate introduces standard two-party dynamics, yet structural advantages for the sitting mayor and limited late-cycle shifts keep his odds lower. Multiple other listed contenders and the broad "Other" category remain distant in the current pricing, consistent with historical patterns where minor candidates rarely disrupt major-party outcomes in Taiwan municipal races. Upcoming candidate registration in late August offers a final procedural milestone before the November vote.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Keelung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
交易量
$1,190结束日期
2026-11-28市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 8:52 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Keelung Mayor Hsieh Kuo-liang, the Kuomintang nominee, holds a strong position in the November 2026 local elections due to his established record since 2022 and party organizational support. Recent polling, including a Mirror Media survey showing him narrowly ahead of Democratic Progressive Party challenger Tung Tzu-wei with substantial undecided voters, reflects a competitive but incumbent-favored contest. Hsieh's survival of a prior recall effort has reinforced trader consensus around his reelection prospects. Tung Tzu-wei's nomination as the main opposition candidate introduces standard two-party dynamics, yet structural advantages for the sitting mayor and limited late-cycle shifts keep his odds lower. Multiple other listed contenders and the broad "Other" category remain distant in the current pricing, consistent with historical patterns where minor candidates rarely disrupt major-party outcomes in Taiwan municipal races. Upcoming candidate registration in late August offers a final procedural milestone before the November vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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