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新西兰选举 预测与赔率

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New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

60%

National Party

$5.6K 交易量

$61.1K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

56%

New Zealand First Party

$3.2K 交易量

$50.7K Liq.

1

Ends 4 个月内

New Zealand Election: Turnout

New Zealand Election: Turnout

35%

78-80%

$1.1K 交易量

$42.8K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?

54%

Chris Hipkins

$9.7K 交易量

$114K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

New Zealand legislative election winner?

New Zealand legislative election winner?

66%

Labour Party

$28.2K 交易量

$114K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

53%

National + ACT + NZF

$9.5K 交易量

$155K Liq.

5

Ends 4 个月内

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

NZ Election: National Party # of seats?

35%

35-39

$3.9K 交易量

$63.5K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?

44%

45-49

$2.0K 交易量

$48.5K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

NZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?

28%

Labour 0-5%

$1.8K 交易量

$40.8K Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

55%

Labour Party

$958 交易量

$827 Liq.

8

Ends 4 个月内

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

50%

Labour

$143 交易量

$168 Liq.

Ends 4 个月内

World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

23%

France

$3B 交易量

$86M today

$284M Liq.

1,958

Ends 21 天内

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

37%

France

$6M 交易量

$2M today

$4M Liq.

14

Ends 21 天内

World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

World Cup: Nation To Reach Round of 16

-

$3M 交易量

$549K today

$1M Liq.

16

Ends 5 天内

World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals

82%

Argentina

$2M 交易量

$408K today

$2M Liq.

1

World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

60%

Argentina

$1M 交易量

$195K today

$2M Liq.

3

Ends 14 天内

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

59%

United Russia (ER)

$13M 交易量

$1M Liq.

262

Ends 3 个月内

World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer

World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer

53%

Argentina

$672K 交易量

$83.3K today

$574K Liq.

4

Ends 大约 2 个月内

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

World Cup: Top Scorer (Nation)

32%

Argentina

$592K 交易量

$54.6K today

$439K Liq.

3

Ends 大约 1 个月内

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

35%

$4M 交易量

$421K Liq.

24

Ends 4 个月内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 新西兰选举 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 113 个活跃的 新西兰选举 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"New Zealand Election: 2nd Place"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $3.4B 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"World Cup Winner ",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"World Cup Winner ",市场目前认为 France 的概率为 23%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 新西兰选举 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。