Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$3,285,996 交易量
$3,285,996 交易量
是
$3,285,996 交易量
$3,285,996 交易量
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Supporters of California’s proposed one-time 5% wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April 2026, positioning the measure to qualify for the November 3, 2026 ballot following Secretary of State verification by June 25. The initiative, backed by SEIU-United Healthcare Workers West, would direct proceeds toward state-funded healthcare, education, and food assistance programs. Governor Gavin Newsom has voiced opposition, while competing ballot measures targeting taxes on personal assets have emerged to challenge it. Early polling indicates narrow voter support near 52%, yet substantial opposition spending and historical resistance to wealth-based levies have shaped trader consensus around a 63.5% implied probability that the measure will fail. Verification outcomes and subsequent campaign dynamics remain key variables ahead of the election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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