Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors People Power Party candidate Choo Kyung-ho at 71.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Daegu mayoral election, despite recent polls showing a razor-thin contest within margins of error—such as JTBC's May 5-6 survey (Kim Boo-kyum 40%, Choo 41%) and News1-Gallup's May 9-10 results (Kim 44%, Choo 41%). Daegu's status as a conservative stronghold with no prior Democratic Party mayor underpins this positioning, amplified by PPP's late-April primary consolidating its base and narrowing poll gaps amid rallying conservatives. High expected turnout among older voters and local loyalty to three-term lawmaker Choo outweigh national ruling party momentum for former PM Kim Boo-kyum, though undecideds and final campaigning could shift the closely contested balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Choo Kyung-ho 73%
Kim Boo-kyum 28%
Lee Jin-sook <1%
Yoon Jae-ok <1%
$559,022 交易量
$559,022 交易量
Choo Kyung-ho
73%
Kim Boo-kyum
28%
Lee Jin-sook
<1%
Yoon Jae-ok
<1%
Kang Min-gu
<1%
Hong Seok-jun
<1%
Seo Jae-heon
<1%
Joo Ho-young
<1%
Yoo Young-ha
<1%
Choi Eun-seok
<1%
Lee Jae-man
<1%
Kim Han-koo
<1%
Choo Kyung-ho 73%
Kim Boo-kyum 28%
Lee Jin-sook <1%
Yoon Jae-ok <1%
$559,022 交易量
$559,022 交易量
Choo Kyung-ho
73%
Kim Boo-kyum
28%
Lee Jin-sook
<1%
Yoon Jae-ok
<1%
Kang Min-gu
<1%
Hong Seok-jun
<1%
Seo Jae-heon
<1%
Joo Ho-young
<1%
Yoo Young-ha
<1%
Choi Eun-seok
<1%
Lee Jae-man
<1%
Kim Han-koo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
市场开放时间： Apr 23, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker mayors will not count.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors People Power Party candidate Choo Kyung-ho at 71.5% implied probability to win the June 3 Daegu mayoral election, despite recent polls showing a razor-thin contest within margins of error—such as JTBC's May 5-6 survey (Kim Boo-kyum 40%, Choo 41%) and News1-Gallup's May 9-10 results (Kim 44%, Choo 41%). Daegu's status as a conservative stronghold with no prior Democratic Party mayor underpins this positioning, amplified by PPP's late-April primary consolidating its base and narrowing poll gaps amid rallying conservatives. High expected turnout among older voters and local loyalty to three-term lawmaker Choo outweigh national ruling party momentum for former PM Kim Boo-kyum, though undecideds and final campaigning could shift the closely contested balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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