Incumbent Željka Cvijanović leads trader consensus at 75.5% for the Serb seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4, 2026 general election because her SNSD party retains strong organizational control in Republika Srpska after ally Siniša Karan’s narrow February 2026 victory as entity president. Recent diplomatic activity, including her U.S. meetings and White House engagements, has reinforced her institutional profile ahead of the vote. Opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, who announced his candidacy in early May, along with Draško Stanivuković, Branko Blanuša, and Karan himself, remain at single-digit levels due to fragmented party structures and limited unified polling support. No major shifts have altered these dynamics in the past month beyond routine secessionist statements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Željka Cvijanović 76%
Nebojša Vukanović 8%
Draško Stanivuković 7%
Branko Blanuša <1%
$16,170 交易量
$16,170 交易量
2026-10-04
Željka Cvijanović
76%
Nebojša Vukanović
8%
Draško Stanivuković
7%
Branko Blanuša
1%
Siniša Karan
1%
Željka Cvijanović 76%
Nebojša Vukanović 8%
Draško Stanivuković 7%
Branko Blanuša <1%
$16,170 交易量
$16,170 交易量
2026-10-04
Željka Cvijanović
$13,876 交易量
76%
Nebojša Vukanović
$655 交易量
8%
Draško Stanivuković
$350 交易量
7%
Branko Blanuša
$350 交易量
1%
Siniša Karan
$939 交易量
1%
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Željka Cvijanović leads trader consensus at 75.5% for the Serb seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4, 2026 general election because her SNSD party retains strong organizational control in Republika Srpska after ally Siniša Karan’s narrow February 2026 victory as entity president. Recent diplomatic activity, including her U.S. meetings and White House engagements, has reinforced her institutional profile ahead of the vote. Opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, who announced his candidacy in early May, along with Draško Stanivuković, Branko Blanuša, and Karan himself, remain at single-digit levels due to fragmented party structures and limited unified polling support. No major shifts have altered these dynamics in the past month beyond routine secessionist statements.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
交易量
$16,170结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Željka Cvijanović leads trader consensus at 75.5% for the Serb seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4, 2026 general election because her SNSD party retains strong organizational control in Republika Srpska after ally Siniša Karan’s narrow February 2026 victory as entity president. Recent diplomatic activity, including her U.S. meetings and White House engagements, has reinforced her institutional profile ahead of the vote. Opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, who announced his candidacy in early May, along with Draško Stanivuković, Branko Blanuša, and Karan himself, remain at single-digit levels due to fragmented party structures and limited unified polling support. No major shifts have altered these dynamics in the past month beyond routine secessionist statements.
The Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina is a three-member collective head of state, consisting of one Bosniak member, one Croat member, and one Serb member. The Bosniak and Croat members are elected from the Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, while the Serb member is elected from Republika Srpska. General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual elected to serve as the Serb member of the Presidency of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election.
Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidency members will not count.
If no such Presidency member has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$16,170结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Željka Cvijanović leads trader consensus at 75.5% for the Serb seat in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s October 4, 2026 general election because her SNSD party retains strong organizational control in Republika Srpska after ally Siniša Karan’s narrow February 2026 victory as entity president. Recent diplomatic activity, including her U.S. meetings and White House engagements, has reinforced her institutional profile ahead of the vote. Opposition figures such as Nebojša Vukanović, who announced his candidacy in early May, along with Draško Stanivuković, Branko Blanuša, and Karan himself, remain at single-digit levels due to fragmented party structures and limited unified polling support. No major shifts have altered these dynamics in the past month beyond routine secessionist statements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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