AS leads the Latvian parliamentary election market at 53.9% implied probability as recent SKDS and other polls place the United List (Apvienotais saraksts) at the top of voting intentions with 17-19% support ahead of the 3 October 2026 vote. Its position strengthened after Andris Kulbergs of AS formed a four-party caretaker government in late May 2026 following the prior coalition's collapse over drone incidents and Russia-related tensions. LPV and SV trail at 19.5% and 19.1% respectively, reflecting their steady but lower poll shares around 14-17%, while PRO, NA, and JV remain further back consistent with single-digit polling trends. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift these standings significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于联合名单（AS） 54.2%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV） 20%
SV 19.1%
进步党（PRO） 6.1%
$186,920 交易量
$186,920 交易量
2026-10-03
联合名单（AS）
54%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV）
20%
SV
19%
进步党（PRO）
6%
NA
2%
团结党
2%
S
<1%
ST!
<1%
ZZS
<1%
联合名单（AS） 54.2%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV） 20%
SV 19.1%
进步党（PRO） 6.1%
$186,920 交易量
$186,920 交易量
2026-10-03
联合名单（AS）
$31,675 交易量
54%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV）
$22,325 交易量
20%
SV
$22,639 交易量
19%
进步党（PRO）
$28,955 交易量
6%
NA
$7,913 交易量
2%
团结党
$12,315 交易量
2%
S
$4,664 交易量
<1%
ST!
$3,359 交易量
<1%
ZZS
$53,074 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).AS leads the Latvian parliamentary election market at 53.9% implied probability as recent SKDS and other polls place the United List (Apvienotais saraksts) at the top of voting intentions with 17-19% support ahead of the 3 October 2026 vote. Its position strengthened after Andris Kulbergs of AS formed a four-party caretaker government in late May 2026 following the prior coalition's collapse over drone incidents and Russia-related tensions. LPV and SV trail at 19.5% and 19.1% respectively, reflecting their steady but lower poll shares around 14-17%, while PRO, NA, and JV remain further back consistent with single-digit polling trends. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift these standings significantly.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
交易量
$186,920结束日期
2026-10-03市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).AS leads the Latvian parliamentary election market at 53.9% implied probability as recent SKDS and other polls place the United List (Apvienotais saraksts) at the top of voting intentions with 17-19% support ahead of the 3 October 2026 vote. Its position strengthened after Andris Kulbergs of AS formed a four-party caretaker government in late May 2026 following the prior coalition's collapse over drone incidents and Russia-related tensions. LPV and SV trail at 19.5% and 19.1% respectively, reflecting their steady but lower poll shares around 14-17%, while PRO, NA, and JV remain further back consistent with single-digit polling trends. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift these standings significantly.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
交易量
$186,920结束日期
2026-10-03市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AS leads the Latvian parliamentary election market at 53.9% implied probability as recent SKDS and other polls place the United List (Apvienotais saraksts) at the top of voting intentions with 17-19% support ahead of the 3 October 2026 vote. Its position strengthened after Andris Kulbergs of AS formed a four-party caretaker government in late May 2026 following the prior coalition's collapse over drone incidents and Russia-related tensions. LPV and SV trail at 19.5% and 19.1% respectively, reflecting their steady but lower poll shares around 14-17%, while PRO, NA, and JV remain further back consistent with single-digit polling trends. No major new catalysts have emerged in the past month to shift these standings significantly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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