Recent polling aggregates project the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 11–16 seats, with models showing wide ranges due to its concentrated support in the Quebec City region, where it leads or ties the PQ in several ridings. Provincial vote intentions place the PCQ near 16–18 percent, competitive with the Liberals but behind the leading PQ, while its strength in Capitale-Nationale districts offers the clearest path to crossing the official party status threshold. Post-debate surveys released in mid-September show limited movement overall, leaving seat outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, vote splitting with the CAQ, and final-week shifts in francophone support. This regional concentration and polling variability explain the market’s tightly clustered probabilities across mid-range bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8-10 25%
11-13 22%
17+ 21.1%
5-7 19%
最新
最新
2027-01-31
少于5
4%
5-7
21%
8-10
23%
11-13
22%
14-16
21%
17+
18%
8-10 25%
11-13 22%
17+ 21.1%
5-7 19%
最新
最新
2027-01-31
少于5
$1,979 交易量
4%
5-7
$838 交易量
21%
8-10
$1,374 交易量
23%
11-13
$1,443 交易量
22%
14-16
$1,023 交易量
21%
17+
$1,072 交易量
18%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates project the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 11–16 seats, with models showing wide ranges due to its concentrated support in the Quebec City region, where it leads or ties the PQ in several ridings. Provincial vote intentions place the PCQ near 16–18 percent, competitive with the Liberals but behind the leading PQ, while its strength in Capitale-Nationale districts offers the clearest path to crossing the official party status threshold. Post-debate surveys released in mid-September show limited movement overall, leaving seat outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, vote splitting with the CAQ, and final-week shifts in francophone support. This regional concentration and polling variability explain the market’s tightly clustered probabilities across mid-range bins.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
交易量
$7,729结束日期
2027-02-01市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates project the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 11–16 seats, with models showing wide ranges due to its concentrated support in the Quebec City region, where it leads or ties the PQ in several ridings. Provincial vote intentions place the PCQ near 16–18 percent, competitive with the Liberals but behind the leading PQ, while its strength in Capitale-Nationale districts offers the clearest path to crossing the official party status threshold. Post-debate surveys released in mid-September show limited movement overall, leaving seat outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, vote splitting with the CAQ, and final-week shifts in francophone support. This regional concentration and polling variability explain the market’s tightly clustered probabilities across mid-range bins.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
交易量
$7,729结束日期
2027-02-01市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETRecent polling aggregates project the Parti Conservateur du Québec (PCQ) at roughly 11–16 seats, with models showing wide ranges due to its concentrated support in the Quebec City region, where it leads or ties the PQ in several ridings. Provincial vote intentions place the PCQ near 16–18 percent, competitive with the Liberals but behind the leading PQ, while its strength in Capitale-Nationale districts offers the clearest path to crossing the official party status threshold. Post-debate surveys released in mid-September show limited movement overall, leaving seat outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, vote splitting with the CAQ, and final-week shifts in francophone support. This regional concentration and polling variability explain the market’s tightly clustered probabilities across mid-range bins.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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