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icon for 哪些政党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得至少一个席位?

哪些政党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得至少一个席位?

icon for 哪些政党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得至少一个席位?

哪些政党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得至少一个席位?

$17,312 交易量

2026-09-20
Polymarket

$17,312 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 公正俄罗斯—为了真理党(SRZP)

公正俄罗斯—为了真理党(SRZP)

$2,942 交易量

98%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$3,498 交易量

86%

icon for 亚布洛科党

亚布洛科党

$7,665 交易量

9%

icon for 俄罗斯生态党“绿党”

俄罗斯生态党“绿党”

$1,090 交易量

3%

icon for 俄罗斯退休者社会公正党

俄罗斯退休者社会公正党

$2,117 交易量

2%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The upcoming Russian State Duma election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, features eleven registered parties competing for 450 seats through a mixed system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts. United Russia maintains its dominant position as the ruling party, while the systemic opposition parties—CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People—hold current representation and are widely expected to secure at least some seats again. Yabloko, the sole party openly critical of the Ukraine conflict, was removed from the ballot by the Supreme Court in August after initial registration. Smaller parties such as Rodina, the Pensioners’ Party, Communists of Russia, the Greens, and the Party of Direct Democracy face higher barriers from the five-percent threshold and limited single-mandate viability amid reduced overall competition. Voter turnout, regional dynamics, and the three-day voting format remain key variables that could influence final seat allocations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$17,312
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The upcoming Russian State Duma election, scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, features eleven registered parties competing for 450 seats through a mixed system of proportional representation and single-mandate districts. United Russia maintains its dominant position as the ruling party, while the systemic opposition parties—CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, and New People—hold current representation and are widely expected to secure at least some seats again. Yabloko, the sole party openly critical of the Ukraine conflict, was removed from the ballot by the Supreme Court in August after initial registration. Smaller parties such as Rodina, the Pensioners’ Party, Communists of Russia, the Greens, and the Party of Direct Democracy face higher barriers from the five-percent threshold and limited single-mandate viability amid reduced overall competition. Voter turnout, regional dynamics, and the three-day voting format remain key variables that could influence final seat allocations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”.

Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”.

These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$17,312
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些政党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得至少一个席位?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"公正俄罗斯—为了真理党(SRZP)",概率为 98%,其次是"Rodina",概率为 86%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪些政党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得至少一个席位?"已产生 $17.3K 的总交易量(自Sep 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些政党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得至少一个席位?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些政党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得至少一个席位?"的当前领先者是"公正俄罗斯—为了真理党(SRZP)",概率为 98%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"Rodina",概率为 86%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些政党将在下一届俄罗斯国家杜马选举中赢得至少一个席位?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。