The Polymarket distribution reflects uncertainty over United Russia's performance in the September 2026 State Duma elections, where it currently holds 314 of 450 seats. Recent party restructuring, electronic primaries, and Dmitry Medvedev heading the candidate list aim to refresh the parliamentary corps while leveraging incumbency advantages and administrative resources. New constituencies in annexed Ukrainian regions could add seats without major shifts in party-list support, yet independent estimates place genuine backing near 31-35 percent amid stable polling from VCIOM and FOM around 37 percent. Traders assess how single-mandate outcomes, turnout, and limited opposition competition will determine whether totals settle near historical levels or edge higher, with resolution tied to official Central Election Commission results after the three-day vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于340–354 33%
355+ 20%
325–339 17%
310–324 11.5%
$24,595 交易量
$24,595 交易量
2026-09-20
少于280
8%
280–294
8%
295–309
12%
310–324
23%
325–339
17%
340–354
33%
355+
20%
340–354 33%
355+ 20%
325–339 17%
310–324 11.5%
$24,595 交易量
$24,595 交易量
2026-09-20
少于280
$6,278 交易量
8%
280–294
$2,828 交易量
8%
295–309
$1,662 交易量
12%
310–324
$1,426 交易量
23%
325–339
$1,963 交易量
17%
340–354
$1,499 交易量
33%
355+
$8,939 交易量
20%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The Polymarket distribution reflects uncertainty over United Russia's performance in the September 2026 State Duma elections, where it currently holds 314 of 450 seats. Recent party restructuring, electronic primaries, and Dmitry Medvedev heading the candidate list aim to refresh the parliamentary corps while leveraging incumbency advantages and administrative resources. New constituencies in annexed Ukrainian regions could add seats without major shifts in party-list support, yet independent estimates place genuine backing near 31-35 percent amid stable polling from VCIOM and FOM around 37 percent. Traders assess how single-mandate outcomes, turnout, and limited opposition competition will determine whether totals settle near historical levels or edge higher, with resolution tied to official Central Election Commission results after the three-day vote.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$24,595结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The Polymarket distribution reflects uncertainty over United Russia's performance in the September 2026 State Duma elections, where it currently holds 314 of 450 seats. Recent party restructuring, electronic primaries, and Dmitry Medvedev heading the candidate list aim to refresh the parliamentary corps while leveraging incumbency advantages and administrative resources. New constituencies in annexed Ukrainian regions could add seats without major shifts in party-list support, yet independent estimates place genuine backing near 31-35 percent amid stable polling from VCIOM and FOM around 37 percent. Traders assess how single-mandate outcomes, turnout, and limited opposition competition will determine whether totals settle near historical levels or edge higher, with resolution tied to official Central Election Commission results after the three-day vote.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$24,595结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Polymarket distribution reflects uncertainty over United Russia's performance in the September 2026 State Duma elections, where it currently holds 314 of 450 seats. Recent party restructuring, electronic primaries, and Dmitry Medvedev heading the candidate list aim to refresh the parliamentary corps while leveraging incumbency advantages and administrative resources. New constituencies in annexed Ukrainian regions could add seats without major shifts in party-list support, yet independent estimates place genuine backing near 31-35 percent amid stable polling from VCIOM and FOM around 37 percent. Traders assess how single-mandate outcomes, turnout, and limited opposition competition will determine whether totals settle near historical levels or edge higher, with resolution tied to official Central Election Commission results after the three-day vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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