United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections holding roughly 310–321 of 450 seats and remains the clear frontrunner under Russia’s mixed-member system. Recent Kremlin preparations, including party-list adjustments favoring figures like Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin, primaries with high candidate volume, and regional turnout targets, support expectations of continued dominance. Official polling trends place party-list support near 45 percent, consistent with a seat range centered around 325–339, while lower outcomes reflect risks from economic strains and war-related pressures. Higher seat totals would require stronger administrative mobilization or elevated turnout; lower totals hinge on greater opposition consolidation or depressed participation in single-member districts. The leading market intervals capture the narrow band of plausible results given managed competition and stable institutional advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.0%
355+ 12%
$184,629 交易量
$184,629 交易量
2026-09-20
少于280
4%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
12%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 19.0%
355+ 12%
$184,629 交易量
$184,629 交易量
2026-09-20
少于280
$26,766 交易量
4%
280–294
$16,666 交易量
4%
295–309
$11,877 交易量
7%
310–324
$14,888 交易量
19%
325–339
$27,776 交易量
35%
340–354
$48,646 交易量
23%
355+
$38,009 交易量
12%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections holding roughly 310–321 of 450 seats and remains the clear frontrunner under Russia’s mixed-member system. Recent Kremlin preparations, including party-list adjustments favoring figures like Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin, primaries with high candidate volume, and regional turnout targets, support expectations of continued dominance. Official polling trends place party-list support near 45 percent, consistent with a seat range centered around 325–339, while lower outcomes reflect risks from economic strains and war-related pressures. Higher seat totals would require stronger administrative mobilization or elevated turnout; lower totals hinge on greater opposition consolidation or depressed participation in single-member districts. The leading market intervals capture the narrow band of plausible results given managed competition and stable institutional advantages.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$184,629结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections holding roughly 310–321 of 450 seats and remains the clear frontrunner under Russia’s mixed-member system. Recent Kremlin preparations, including party-list adjustments favoring figures like Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin, primaries with high candidate volume, and regional turnout targets, support expectations of continued dominance. Official polling trends place party-list support near 45 percent, consistent with a seat range centered around 325–339, while lower outcomes reflect risks from economic strains and war-related pressures. Higher seat totals would require stronger administrative mobilization or elevated turnout; lower totals hinge on greater opposition consolidation or depressed participation in single-member districts. The leading market intervals capture the narrow band of plausible results given managed competition and stable institutional advantages.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
交易量
$184,629结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 2026 State Duma elections holding roughly 310–321 of 450 seats and remains the clear frontrunner under Russia’s mixed-member system. Recent Kremlin preparations, including party-list adjustments favoring figures like Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Sobyanin, primaries with high candidate volume, and regional turnout targets, support expectations of continued dominance. Official polling trends place party-list support near 45 percent, consistent with a seat range centered around 325–339, while lower outcomes reflect risks from economic strains and war-related pressures. Higher seat totals would require stronger administrative mobilization or elevated turnout; lower totals hinge on greater opposition consolidation or depressed participation in single-member districts. The leading market intervals capture the narrow band of plausible results given managed competition and stable institutional advantages.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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