Recent polling trends ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke holding a narrow lead for first place, leaving CDU and AfD as the primary contenders for second. Surveys from INSA, Civey, and Infratest dimap in July and August place the parties within a few points of one another, with CDU often edging AfD but both well ahead of Grüne and SPD. The CDU’s position has stabilized following the earlier replacement of its lead candidate, while AfD support has fluctuated with national trends and local issues. This narrow gap in voter intention surveys underpins trader consensus that the outcome for second remains closely contested, with modest shifts in turnout or late-campaign events among key voter blocs likely to determine final placement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于基民盟 37%
AfD 32%
Linke 24%
格林党 8%
$23,794 交易量
$23,794 交易量
2026-09-20
基民盟
37%
AfD
32%
Linke
24%
格林党
8%
社民党
3%
自民党
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
基民盟 37%
AfD 32%
Linke 24%
格林党 8%
$23,794 交易量
$23,794 交易量
2026-09-20
基民盟
$3,211 交易量
37%
AfD
$5,376 交易量
32%
Linke
$5,880 交易量
24%
格林党
$4,186 交易量
8%
社民党
$3,060 交易量
3%
自民党
$686 交易量
<1%
FW
$640 交易量
<1%
BSW
$755 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling trends ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke holding a narrow lead for first place, leaving CDU and AfD as the primary contenders for second. Surveys from INSA, Civey, and Infratest dimap in July and August place the parties within a few points of one another, with CDU often edging AfD but both well ahead of Grüne and SPD. The CDU’s position has stabilized following the earlier replacement of its lead candidate, while AfD support has fluctuated with national trends and local issues. This narrow gap in voter intention surveys underpins trader consensus that the outcome for second remains closely contested, with modest shifts in turnout or late-campaign events among key voter blocs likely to determine final placement.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市场开放时间： Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
交易量
$23,794结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polling trends ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke holding a narrow lead for first place, leaving CDU and AfD as the primary contenders for second. Surveys from INSA, Civey, and Infratest dimap in July and August place the parties within a few points of one another, with CDU often edging AfD but both well ahead of Grüne and SPD. The CDU’s position has stabilized following the earlier replacement of its lead candidate, while AfD support has fluctuated with national trends and local issues. This narrow gap in voter intention surveys underpins trader consensus that the outcome for second remains closely contested, with modest shifts in turnout or late-campaign events among key voter blocs likely to determine final placement.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
交易量
$23,794结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends ahead of Berlin’s September 20 state election show Die Linke holding a narrow lead for first place, leaving CDU and AfD as the primary contenders for second. Surveys from INSA, Civey, and Infratest dimap in July and August place the parties within a few points of one another, with CDU often edging AfD but both well ahead of Grüne and SPD. The CDU’s position has stabilized following the earlier replacement of its lead candidate, while AfD support has fluctuated with national trends and local issues. This narrow gap in voter intention surveys underpins trader consensus that the outcome for second remains closely contested, with modest shifts in turnout or late-campaign events among key voter blocs likely to determine final placement.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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