Recent August 2026 polls for the September 20 Berlin state election show a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD clustered within a few points, sustaining tight competition for second place. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Kai Wegner continues amid criticism over infrastructure reliability and winter disruptions, while AfD support tracks broader national trends. Linke strength in local surveys keeps multiple scenarios open for finishing order. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights these narrow polling margins and limited recent catalysts capable of producing decisive separation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于基民盟 37%
AfD 33%
Linke 18%
格林党 7%
$23,940 交易量
$23,940 交易量

基民盟
37%

AfD
33%

Linke
22%

格林党
7%

社民党
3%

自民党
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
基民盟 37%
AfD 33%
Linke 18%
格林党 7%
$23,940 交易量
$23,940 交易量

基民盟
37%

AfD
33%

Linke
22%

格林党
7%

社民党
3%

自民党
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
市场开放时间: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 polls for the September 20 Berlin state election show a fragmented field with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, Grüne, and SPD clustered within a few points, sustaining tight competition for second place. The incumbent CDU-SPD coalition under Kai Wegner continues amid criticism over infrastructure reliability and winter disruptions, while AfD support tracks broader national trends. Linke strength in local surveys keeps multiple scenarios open for finishing order. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing highlights these narrow polling margins and limited recent catalysts capable of producing decisive separation before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题