Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show the AfD holding a stable lead near 42 percent, with the CDU positioned a distant but consistent second at 22–24 percent. The Left trails further back around 13 percent, while the SPD, Greens, BSW, and FDP remain in single digits. This pattern has held across multiple surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix through early August, reflecting entrenched voter alignments in the eastern state. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the CDU finishing second, as the double-digit gap to third place leaves little room for reversal before election day. Only a sharp, coordinated late swing or unusually skewed turnout would allow another party to overtake the CDU in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于基民盟 98.0%
左翼党 1.4%
AfD <1%
社民党 <1%
$123,347 交易量
$123,347 交易量

基民盟
98%

左翼党
1%

AfD
<1%

社民党
<1%

绿党
<1%

自民党
<1%

BSW
<1%
基民盟 98.0%
左翼党 1.4%
AfD <1%
社民党 <1%
$123,347 交易量
$123,347 交易量

基民盟
98%

左翼党
1%

AfD
<1%

社民党
<1%

绿党
<1%

自民党
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election show the AfD holding a stable lead near 42 percent, with the CDU positioned a distant but consistent second at 22–24 percent. The Left trails further back around 13 percent, while the SPD, Greens, BSW, and FDP remain in single digits. This pattern has held across multiple surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix through early August, reflecting entrenched voter alignments in the eastern state. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the CDU finishing second, as the double-digit gap to third place leaves little room for reversal before election day. Only a sharp, coordinated late swing or unusually skewed turnout would allow another party to overtake the CDU in the final weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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