Consistent polling trends position the CDU for a clear second-place finish in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt state election, with AfD maintaining a commanding lead near 41 percent and the CDU holding steady around 26 percent. This gap over the Left party at roughly 12 percent and smaller shares for SPD, BSW, and the Greens reflects entrenched voter patterns in the eastern state, reinforced by recent Infratest dimap and INSA surveys through early May. Traders have priced the CDU's frontrunner status for second at 92.5 percent as a reflection of this sustained separation in vote intention. Late shifts could narrow the margin if turnout surges among smaller parties or if economic concerns boost the Left, though no such movement has appeared in the latest data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于基民盟 93%
AfD 9.0%
BSW 3.0%
自民党 1.0%
$47,447 交易量
$47,447 交易量

基民盟
93%

AfD
10%

BSW
3%

自民党
1%

左翼党
1%

绿党
1%

社民党
1%
基民盟 93%
AfD 9.0%
BSW 3.0%
自民党 1.0%
$47,447 交易量
$47,447 交易量

基民盟
93%

AfD
10%

BSW
3%

自民党
1%

左翼党
1%

绿党
1%

社民党
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
市场开放时间: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Consistent polling trends position the CDU for a clear second-place finish in the September 6, 2026, Sachsen-Anhalt state election, with AfD maintaining a commanding lead near 41 percent and the CDU holding steady around 26 percent. This gap over the Left party at roughly 12 percent and smaller shares for SPD, BSW, and the Greens reflects entrenched voter patterns in the eastern state, reinforced by recent Infratest dimap and INSA surveys through early May. Traders have priced the CDU's frontrunner status for second at 92.5 percent as a reflection of this sustained separation in vote intention. Late shifts could narrow the margin if turnout surges among smaller parties or if economic concerns boost the Left, though no such movement has appeared in the latest data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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