Incumbent Katharina Pötter of the CDU holds a leading position in the Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister race due to established name recognition and her record since 2021, ahead of the September 13, 2026, direct election that could trigger a September 27 runoff. Multiple challengers, including SPD nominee Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, Die Linke’s Thomas Groß, and AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann, fragment the field and prevent any single opponent from consolidating broad support. Recent party nominations and candidate announcements have clarified the lineup without major shifts in positioning, leaving traders pricing in Pötter’s structural edge while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff or surprise contender performance in the final campaign stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卡塔琳娜·珀特 57%
托马斯·格罗斯 41%
托尔斯滕·瓦塞尔曼 41%
沃尔克·巴尤斯 23%

卡塔琳娜·珀特
57%

托马斯·格罗斯
41%

托尔斯滕·瓦塞尔曼
41%

沃尔克·巴尤斯
23%

罗伯特·阿尔费林克
13%

奥利弗·哈斯坎普
8%
卡塔琳娜·珀特 57%
托马斯·格罗斯 41%
托尔斯滕·瓦塞尔曼 41%
沃尔克·巴尤斯 23%

卡塔琳娜·珀特
57%

托马斯·格罗斯
41%

托尔斯滕·瓦塞尔曼
41%

沃尔克·巴尤斯
23%

罗伯特·阿尔费林克
13%

奥利弗·哈斯坎普
8%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Katharina Pötter of the CDU holds a leading position in the Osnabrück Oberbürgermeister race due to established name recognition and her record since 2021, ahead of the September 13, 2026, direct election that could trigger a September 27 runoff. Multiple challengers, including SPD nominee Robert Alferink, Green candidate Volker Bajus, Die Linke’s Thomas Groß, and AfD’s Thorsten Wassermann, fragment the field and prevent any single opponent from consolidating broad support. Recent party nominations and candidate announcements have clarified the lineup without major shifts in positioning, leaving traders pricing in Pötter’s structural edge while assigning meaningful probability to a runoff or surprise contender performance in the final campaign stretch.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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