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icon for 梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举获胜者
世界·全球选举

梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举获胜者

icon for 梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举获胜者
世界·全球选举

梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举获胜者

AfD 100.0%

基民盟 <1%

格鲁内党 <1%

社民党 <1%

Polymarket

$2,401,289 交易量

AfD 100.0%

基民盟 <1%

格鲁内党 <1%

社民党 <1%

Polymarket

$2,401,289 交易量

icon for 基民盟

基民盟

$45,512 交易量

否

icon for AfD

AfD

$1,156,782 交易量

是

icon for 格鲁内党

格鲁内党

$71,511 交易量

否

icon for 社民党

社民党

$881,968 交易量

否

icon for 自民党

自民党

$77,156 交易量

否

icon for 左翼党

左翼党

$29,935 交易量

否

icon for FW

FW

$116,032 交易量

否

icon for BSW

BSW

$22,393 交易量

否

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD secured the largest share of votes in the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, more than doubling its 2021 result to 38.2 percent and edging out the SPD at 35.5 percent. This outcome aligns with the party's recent gains in eastern states and high turnout exceeding 78 percent. The CDU fell below the 5 percent threshold for the first time in postwar history, while the Left and Greens cleared it narrowly. Other parties have signaled they will not enter coalitions with the AfD, leaving government formation open despite the party's lead in seats. Final certified results or minor procedural adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could shift the recorded winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$2,401,289
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

结算方

0x2F5e3684c...

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD secured the largest share of votes in the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election, more than doubling its 2021 result to 38.2 percent and edging out the SPD at 35.5 percent. This outcome aligns with the party's recent gains in eastern states and high turnout exceeding 78 percent. The CDU fell below the 5 percent threshold for the first time in postwar history, while the Left and Greens cleared it narrowly. Other parties have signaled they will not enter coalitions with the AfD, leaving government formation open despite the party's lead in seats. Final certified results or minor procedural adjustments remain the only realistic variables that could shift the recorded winner.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
交易量
$2,401,289
结束日期
2026-09-20
市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET

结算方

0x2F5e3684c...

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

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常见问题

"梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"AfD"，概率为 100%，其次是"基民盟"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举获胜者"已产生 $2.4 million 的总交易量（自Feb 11, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"AfD"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"基民盟"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚议会选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。