Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections feature three-day voting and expanded electronic options amid administrative mobilization of public-sector and corporate employees to meet turnout goals. The Kremlin has repeatedly lowered internal benchmarks from earlier 50% targets due to wartime economic strains, fuel shortages, and Ukrainian strikes that have dampened public engagement. Historical results from 2021 near 52% provide a baseline, while recent pro-Kremlin forecasts project 54–58% depending on the intensity of pressure tactics versus voter fatigue. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 50–56% range because these competing pressures—coordinated turnout drives versus subdued organic participation—create balanced uncertainty without a clear recent catalyst to shift probabilities decisively higher or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于50-53% 31%
53-56% 28.6%
47-50% 12%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,328 交易量
$54,328 交易量
2026-09-19
<47%
2%
47-50%
12%
50-53%
31%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
11%
62%+
10%
50-53% 31%
53-56% 28.6%
47-50% 12%
59-62% 10.5%
$54,328 交易量
$54,328 交易量
2026-09-19
<47%
$2,385 交易量
2%
47-50%
$6,452 交易量
12%
50-53%
$5,447 交易量
31%
53-56%
$3,394 交易量
29%
56-59%
$6,521 交易量
10%
59-62%
$5,458 交易量
11%
62%+
$24,674 交易量
10%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections feature three-day voting and expanded electronic options amid administrative mobilization of public-sector and corporate employees to meet turnout goals. The Kremlin has repeatedly lowered internal benchmarks from earlier 50% targets due to wartime economic strains, fuel shortages, and Ukrainian strikes that have dampened public engagement. Historical results from 2021 near 52% provide a baseline, while recent pro-Kremlin forecasts project 54–58% depending on the intensity of pressure tactics versus voter fatigue. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 50–56% range because these competing pressures—coordinated turnout drives versus subdued organic participation—create balanced uncertainty without a clear recent catalyst to shift probabilities decisively higher or lower.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
交易量
$54,328结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 18–20 State Duma elections feature three-day voting and expanded electronic options amid administrative mobilization of public-sector and corporate employees to meet turnout goals. The Kremlin has repeatedly lowered internal benchmarks from earlier 50% targets due to wartime economic strains, fuel shortages, and Ukrainian strikes that have dampened public engagement. Historical results from 2021 near 52% provide a baseline, while recent pro-Kremlin forecasts project 54–58% depending on the intensity of pressure tactics versus voter fatigue. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 50–56% range because these competing pressures—coordinated turnout drives versus subdued organic participation—create balanced uncertainty without a clear recent catalyst to shift probabilities decisively higher or lower.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
交易量
$54,328结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETRussia's September 18–20 State Duma elections feature three-day voting and expanded electronic options amid administrative mobilization of public-sector and corporate employees to meet turnout goals. The Kremlin has repeatedly lowered internal benchmarks from earlier 50% targets due to wartime economic strains, fuel shortages, and Ukrainian strikes that have dampened public engagement. Historical results from 2021 near 52% provide a baseline, while recent pro-Kremlin forecasts project 54–58% depending on the intensity of pressure tactics versus voter fatigue. Trader consensus clusters tightly around the 50–56% range because these competing pressures—coordinated turnout drives versus subdued organic participation—create balanced uncertainty without a clear recent catalyst to shift probabilities decisively higher or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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