Russia's September 2026 State Duma election features multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation, yet trader probabilities cluster tightly around 50-56% turnout due to competing pressures. Kremlin targets have been revised downward multiple times amid economic strains, fuel shortages, and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict, prompting intensified corporate mobilization of public-sector and state-linked employees to meet minimum benchmarks near 50%. Recent polls indicate declared intent near 66%, though firm commitment remains lower, while 2021 precedent hovered around 52%. The balance reflects uncertainty over mobilization scale versus apathy, with outcomes hinging on regional enforcement of drives, electronic system reach, and any late shifts in engagement before the September 18-20 voting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于53-56% 28.7%
50-53% 25%
62%+ 10.7%
56-59% 10.3%
$55,132 交易量
$55,132 交易量
2026-09-19
<47%
2%
47-50%
10%
50-53%
25%
53-56%
29%
56-59%
10%
59-62%
10%
62%+
11%
53-56% 28.7%
50-53% 25%
62%+ 10.7%
56-59% 10.3%
$55,132 交易量
$55,132 交易量
2026-09-19
<47%
$2,411 交易量
2%
47-50%
$6,472 交易量
10%
50-53%
$5,647 交易量
25%
53-56%
$3,419 交易量
29%
56-59%
$6,538 交易量
10%
59-62%
$5,573 交易量
10%
62%+
$25,073 交易量
11%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election features multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation, yet trader probabilities cluster tightly around 50-56% turnout due to competing pressures. Kremlin targets have been revised downward multiple times amid economic strains, fuel shortages, and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict, prompting intensified corporate mobilization of public-sector and state-linked employees to meet minimum benchmarks near 50%. Recent polls indicate declared intent near 66%, though firm commitment remains lower, while 2021 precedent hovered around 52%. The balance reflects uncertainty over mobilization scale versus apathy, with outcomes hinging on regional enforcement of drives, electronic system reach, and any late shifts in engagement before the September 18-20 voting window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
交易量
$55,132结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.Russia's September 2026 State Duma election features multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation, yet trader probabilities cluster tightly around 50-56% turnout due to competing pressures. Kremlin targets have been revised downward multiple times amid economic strains, fuel shortages, and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict, prompting intensified corporate mobilization of public-sector and state-linked employees to meet minimum benchmarks near 50%. Recent polls indicate declared intent near 66%, though firm commitment remains lower, while 2021 precedent hovered around 52%. The balance reflects uncertainty over mobilization scale versus apathy, with outcomes hinging on regional enforcement of drives, electronic system reach, and any late shifts in engagement before the September 18-20 voting window.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
交易量
$55,132结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ETRussia's September 2026 State Duma election features multi-day voting and expanded electronic options that historically support moderate participation, yet trader probabilities cluster tightly around 50-56% turnout due to competing pressures. Kremlin targets have been revised downward multiple times amid economic strains, fuel shortages, and public fatigue with the ongoing conflict, prompting intensified corporate mobilization of public-sector and state-linked employees to meet minimum benchmarks near 50%. Recent polls indicate declared intent near 66%, though firm commitment remains lower, while 2021 precedent hovered around 52%. The balance reflects uncertainty over mobilization scale versus apathy, with outcomes hinging on regional enforcement of drives, electronic system reach, and any late shifts in engagement before the September 18-20 voting window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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