Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections operate under a mixed electoral system where administrative mobilization by United Russia, expanded remote electronic voting, and multi-day balloting have consistently produced turnout in the low-to-mid 50 percent range. With the ruling party drawing on incumbency advantages and regional networks to encourage participation, while opposition groups encounter organizational and legal constraints, trader consensus remains tightly grouped across the 50-56 percent brackets. No major shifts in public engagement or mobilization capacity have emerged in recent months to widen the spread. Economic conditions, battlefield developments in Ukraine, or adjustments to voting procedures could still alter participation levels before September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于53-56% 42.6%
50-53% 36%
59-62% 33%
62%+ 29%
<47%
24%
47-50%
30%
50-53%
36%
53-56%
43%
56-59%
23%
59-62%
33%
62%+
37%
53-56% 42.6%
50-53% 36%
59-62% 33%
62%+ 29%
<47%
24%
47-50%
30%
50-53%
36%
53-56%
43%
56-59%
23%
59-62%
33%
62%+
37%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
市场开放时间: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections operate under a mixed electoral system where administrative mobilization by United Russia, expanded remote electronic voting, and multi-day balloting have consistently produced turnout in the low-to-mid 50 percent range. With the ruling party drawing on incumbency advantages and regional networks to encourage participation, while opposition groups encounter organizational and legal constraints, trader consensus remains tightly grouped across the 50-56 percent brackets. No major shifts in public engagement or mobilization capacity have emerged in recent months to widen the spread. Economic conditions, battlefield developments in Ukraine, or adjustments to voting procedures could still alter participation levels before September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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