United Russia maintains its overwhelming lead in the 2026 State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from entrenched institutional advantages, including dominance in single-mandate districts and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. Recent preparations have centered on restructuring candidate lists to feature war veterans and pro-government figures such as Dmitry Medvedev, aiming to consolidate support amid modest polling around 33-39 percent. The other parliamentary parties remain fragmented and limited in reach under current constraints. Realistic shifts would require major economic disruptions or unforeseen turnout surges capable of overcoming these structural edges before the September vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 95.9%
新人民党（NL） 2.3%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.0%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP） <1%
$1,347,879 交易量
$1,347,879 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
96%
新人民党（NL）
2%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
<1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
<1%
祖国党
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 95.9%
新人民党（NL） 2.3%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） 1.0%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP） <1%
$1,347,879 交易量
$1,347,879 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$521,591 交易量
96%
新人民党（NL）
$80,740 交易量
2%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$103,899 交易量
1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
$229,383 交易量
<1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$79,346 交易量
<1%
祖国党
$222,577 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$110,366 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its overwhelming lead in the 2026 State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from entrenched institutional advantages, including dominance in single-mandate districts and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. Recent preparations have centered on restructuring candidate lists to feature war veterans and pro-government figures such as Dmitry Medvedev, aiming to consolidate support amid modest polling around 33-39 percent. The other parliamentary parties remain fragmented and limited in reach under current constraints. Realistic shifts would require major economic disruptions or unforeseen turnout surges capable of overcoming these structural edges before the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$1,347,879结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its overwhelming lead in the 2026 State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from entrenched institutional advantages, including dominance in single-mandate districts and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. Recent preparations have centered on restructuring candidate lists to feature war veterans and pro-government figures such as Dmitry Medvedev, aiming to consolidate support amid modest polling around 33-39 percent. The other parliamentary parties remain fragmented and limited in reach under current constraints. Realistic shifts would require major economic disruptions or unforeseen turnout surges capable of overcoming these structural edges before the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$1,347,879结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its overwhelming lead in the 2026 State Duma election market because the ruling party benefits from entrenched institutional advantages, including dominance in single-mandate districts and a mixed electoral system that favors incumbents. Recent preparations have centered on restructuring candidate lists to feature war veterans and pro-government figures such as Dmitry Medvedev, aiming to consolidate support amid modest polling around 33-39 percent. The other parliamentary parties remain fragmented and limited in reach under current constraints. Realistic shifts would require major economic disruptions or unforeseen turnout surges capable of overcoming these structural edges before the September vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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