United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong institutional backing, including from President Vladimir Putin, control of single-member districts, and extensive administrative resources. Recent preparations, such as party primaries, leadership restructuring, and the June 2026 decree setting the voting dates for 18–20 September, have reinforced its organizational edge. Polling consistently places the party well ahead of fragmented systemic opposition groups like the KPRF, LDPR, and New People, which function within established limits rather than as viable challengers for the largest seat share. Trader consensus at 98% reflects these structural factors and the party's repeated supermajority outcomes in prior cycles. Potential shifts remain possible only through major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt changes in the ongoing conflict or elite realignments, though none have materialized to alter current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于统一俄罗斯党（ER） 98.3%
亚布洛科 <1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） <1%
$3,185,176 交易量
$3,185,176 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
98%
亚布洛科
1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
1%
新人民党（NL）
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
<1%
祖国党
<1%
公民平台（GP）
<1%
统一俄罗斯党（ER） 98.3%
亚布洛科 <1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR） <1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF） <1%
$3,185,176 交易量
$3,185,176 交易量
2026-09-30
统一俄罗斯党（ER）
$802,796 交易量
98%
亚布洛科
$32,428 交易量
1%
俄罗斯自由民主党（LDPR）
$205,939 交易量
1%
俄罗斯联邦共产党（KPRF）
$163,342 交易量
1%
新人民党（NL）
$138,483 交易量
<1%
公正俄罗斯——为真理党（SRZP）
$736,075 交易量
<1%
祖国党
$502,708 交易量
<1%
公民平台（GP）
$603,407 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong institutional backing, including from President Vladimir Putin, control of single-member districts, and extensive administrative resources. Recent preparations, such as party primaries, leadership restructuring, and the June 2026 decree setting the voting dates for 18–20 September, have reinforced its organizational edge. Polling consistently places the party well ahead of fragmented systemic opposition groups like the KPRF, LDPR, and New People, which function within established limits rather than as viable challengers for the largest seat share. Trader consensus at 98% reflects these structural factors and the party's repeated supermajority outcomes in prior cycles. Potential shifts remain possible only through major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt changes in the ongoing conflict or elite realignments, though none have materialized to alter current positioning.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
交易量
$3,185,176结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong institutional backing, including from President Vladimir Putin, control of single-member districts, and extensive administrative resources. Recent preparations, such as party primaries, leadership restructuring, and the June 2026 decree setting the voting dates for 18–20 September, have reinforced its organizational edge. Polling consistently places the party well ahead of fragmented systemic opposition groups like the KPRF, LDPR, and New People, which function within established limits rather than as viable challengers for the largest seat share. Trader consensus at 98% reflects these structural factors and the party's repeated supermajority outcomes in prior cycles. Potential shifts remain possible only through major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt changes in the ongoing conflict or elite realignments, though none have materialized to alter current positioning.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$3,185,176结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its status as the ruling party with strong institutional backing, including from President Vladimir Putin, control of single-member districts, and extensive administrative resources. Recent preparations, such as party primaries, leadership restructuring, and the June 2026 decree setting the voting dates for 18–20 September, have reinforced its organizational edge. Polling consistently places the party well ahead of fragmented systemic opposition groups like the KPRF, LDPR, and New People, which function within established limits rather than as viable challengers for the largest seat share. Trader consensus at 98% reflects these structural factors and the party's repeated supermajority outcomes in prior cycles. Potential shifts remain possible only through major unforeseen disruptions, such as abrupt changes in the ongoing conflict or elite realignments, though none have materialized to alter current positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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