New People leads the market for third place due to recent VTsIOM polling showing the party at 10-13% support, often ahead of or level with LDPR and closing on KPRF, reflecting its positioning as a younger systemic alternative with Kremlin media backing ahead of the September 18-20 Duma vote. LDPR trails at 32.5% amid stable but unspectacular ratings around 12-14% across FOM and other surveys following its leadership transition. KPRF sits lower in the market despite comparable or slightly higher poll averages, as traders weigh New People's momentum against the Communists' established regional structures. Tight dynamics between the top two contenders hinge on final-week turnout among younger and urban voters, with limited separation expected absent major late campaign shifts or registration developments affecting smaller parties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 13%
雅布洛科 1.4%
$57,136 交易量
$57,136 交易量
2026-09-20
United Russia (ER)
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
13%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%
New People (NL)
42%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
雅布洛科
1%
New People (NL) 42%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 13%
雅布洛科 1.4%
$57,136 交易量
$57,136 交易量
2026-09-20
United Russia (ER)
$3,529 交易量
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$9,039 交易量
13%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$3,140 交易量
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$18,132 交易量
33%
New People (NL)
$9,704 交易量
42%
Rodina
$2,524 交易量
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$1,818 交易量
<1%
雅布洛科
$9,249 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.New People leads the market for third place due to recent VTsIOM polling showing the party at 10-13% support, often ahead of or level with LDPR and closing on KPRF, reflecting its positioning as a younger systemic alternative with Kremlin media backing ahead of the September 18-20 Duma vote. LDPR trails at 32.5% amid stable but unspectacular ratings around 12-14% across FOM and other surveys following its leadership transition. KPRF sits lower in the market despite comparable or slightly higher poll averages, as traders weigh New People's momentum against the Communists' established regional structures. Tight dynamics between the top two contenders hinge on final-week turnout among younger and urban voters, with limited separation expected absent major late campaign shifts or registration developments affecting smaller parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
交易量
$57,136结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.New People leads the market for third place due to recent VTsIOM polling showing the party at 10-13% support, often ahead of or level with LDPR and closing on KPRF, reflecting its positioning as a younger systemic alternative with Kremlin media backing ahead of the September 18-20 Duma vote. LDPR trails at 32.5% amid stable but unspectacular ratings around 12-14% across FOM and other surveys following its leadership transition. KPRF sits lower in the market despite comparable or slightly higher poll averages, as traders weigh New People's momentum against the Communists' established regional structures. Tight dynamics between the top two contenders hinge on final-week turnout among younger and urban voters, with limited separation expected absent major late campaign shifts or registration developments affecting smaller parties.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
交易量
$57,136结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...New People leads the market for third place due to recent VTsIOM polling showing the party at 10-13% support, often ahead of or level with LDPR and closing on KPRF, reflecting its positioning as a younger systemic alternative with Kremlin media backing ahead of the September 18-20 Duma vote. LDPR trails at 32.5% amid stable but unspectacular ratings around 12-14% across FOM and other surveys following its leadership transition. KPRF sits lower in the market despite comparable or slightly higher poll averages, as traders weigh New People's momentum against the Communists' established regional structures. Tight dynamics between the top two contenders hinge on final-week turnout among younger and urban voters, with limited separation expected absent major late campaign shifts or registration developments affecting smaller parties.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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