The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于泽马 40%
帕布罗·马沙尔 39%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 38%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
泽马
40%
帕布罗·马沙尔
39%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
38%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
38%
作家奥古斯托·库里
37%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
36%
卢拉
36%
雷南·桑托斯
34%
克拉丽亚娜·巴拉奥
33%
罗纳尔多·卡伊阿多
31%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
11%
萨马拉
32%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
31%
泽马 40%
帕布罗·马沙尔 39%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 38%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯 38%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
泽马
$0 交易量
40%
帕布罗·马沙尔
$0 交易量
39%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$0 交易量
38%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$0 交易量
38%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$0 交易量
37%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
$0 交易量
36%
卢拉
$0 交易量
36%
雷南·桑托斯
$0 交易量
34%
克拉丽亚娜·巴拉奥
$0 交易量
33%
罗纳尔多·卡伊阿多
$0 交易量
31%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$0 交易量
11%
萨马拉
$20 交易量
32%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
$40 交易量
31%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
交易量
$60结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$60结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题