Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Rio Grande do Sul first-round voting intentions due to the state's consistent conservative leanings and strong historical backing for the Liberal Party and the broader Bolsonarista movement. Recent state-level polling from mid-2026 showed him edging or tying incumbent President Lula, reflecting voter priorities around security, economic policy, and regional identity in this southern stronghold. With the October 4 first round approaching, his established lead in RS surveys has translated into trader consensus around a high probability of finishing first locally. Potential shifts could arise from consolidated opposition turnout, late campaign momentum for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema, or developments in ongoing national scandals that alter voter sentiment in the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 91%
卢拉 10%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥 <1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔 <1%
$23,996 交易量
$23,996 交易量
2027-06-30
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
91%
卢拉
10%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
<1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
<1%
赫茨·迪亚斯
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
<1%
萨马拉
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
<1%
泽马
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 91%
卢拉 10%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥 <1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔 <1%
$23,996 交易量
$23,996 交易量
2027-06-30
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$8,004 交易量
91%
卢拉
$4,055 交易量
10%
克拉里亚娜·巴拉奥
$1,171 交易量
<1%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
$1,491 交易量
<1%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$1,437 交易量
<1%
赫茨·迪亚斯
$493 交易量
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$858 交易量
<1%
雷南·桑托斯
$640 交易量
<1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$1,786 交易量
<1%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$641 交易量
<1%
萨马拉
$1,376 交易量
<1%
兽医威尔森·格拉西
$821 交易量
<1%
泽马
$1,223 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Rio Grande do Sul first-round voting intentions due to the state's consistent conservative leanings and strong historical backing for the Liberal Party and the broader Bolsonarista movement. Recent state-level polling from mid-2026 showed him edging or tying incumbent President Lula, reflecting voter priorities around security, economic policy, and regional identity in this southern stronghold. With the October 4 first round approaching, his established lead in RS surveys has translated into trader consensus around a high probability of finishing first locally. Potential shifts could arise from consolidated opposition turnout, late campaign momentum for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema, or developments in ongoing national scandals that alter voter sentiment in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
交易量
$23,996结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Rio Grande do Sul first-round voting intentions due to the state's consistent conservative leanings and strong historical backing for the Liberal Party and the broader Bolsonarista movement. Recent state-level polling from mid-2026 showed him edging or tying incumbent President Lula, reflecting voter priorities around security, economic policy, and regional identity in this southern stronghold. With the October 4 first round approaching, his established lead in RS surveys has translated into trader consensus around a high probability of finishing first locally. Potential shifts could arise from consolidated opposition turnout, late campaign momentum for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema, or developments in ongoing national scandals that alter voter sentiment in the state.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$23,996结束日期
2027-07-01市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ETFlávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Rio Grande do Sul first-round voting intentions due to the state's consistent conservative leanings and strong historical backing for the Liberal Party and the broader Bolsonarista movement. Recent state-level polling from mid-2026 showed him edging or tying incumbent President Lula, reflecting voter priorities around security, economic policy, and regional identity in this southern stronghold. With the October 4 first round approaching, his established lead in RS surveys has translated into trader consensus around a high probability of finishing first locally. Potential shifts could arise from consolidated opposition turnout, late campaign momentum for alternatives such as Ronaldo Caiado or Romeu Zema, or developments in ongoing national scandals that alter voter sentiment in the state.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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