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icon for 马拉尼昂州参议院选举:第一名

马拉尼昂州参议院选举:第一名

icon for 马拉尼昂州参议院选举:第一名

马拉尼昂州参议院选举:第一名

Enilton Rodrigues 44%

Lahesio Bonfim 44%

Eliziane Gama 44%

Fufuca 44%

Polymarket
最新

Enilton Rodrigues 44%

Lahesio Bonfim 44%

Eliziane Gama 44%

Fufuca 44%

Polymarket
最新
icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$0 交易量

44%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$0 交易量

43%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$0 交易量

42%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds a clear edge, with multiple pre-candidates clustered in recent polling around 10-14% amid substantial undecided and null votes. Incumbents Weverton Rocha and Eliziane Gama face challenges from established figures including Roseana Sarney, whose July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement added momentum to the MDB, alongside Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others backed by parties such as PL, PP, and NOVO. Local political dynamics, including shifting alliances, regional voter bases in a state with strong family and party traditions, and the dual-seat structure keep the contest open. Further August polling releases, formal party conventions, or coalition announcements could consolidate support and widen gaps before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no candidate holds a clear edge, with multiple pre-candidates clustered in recent polling around 10-14% amid substantial undecided and null votes. Incumbents Weverton Rocha and Eliziane Gama face challenges from established figures including Roseana Sarney, whose July 2026 pre-candidacy announcement added momentum to the MDB, alongside Lahesio Bonfim, André Fufuca, and others backed by parties such as PL, PP, and NOVO. Local political dynamics, including shifting alliances, regional voter bases in a state with strong family and party traditions, and the dual-seat structure keep the contest open. Further August polling releases, formal party conventions, or coalition announcements could consolidate support and widen gaps before the October vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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常见问题

"马拉尼昂州参议院选举:第一名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Enilton Rodrigues",概率为 44%,其次是"Lahesio Bonfim",概率为 44%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 44¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 44%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"马拉尼昂州参议院选举:第一名"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"马拉尼昂州参议院选举:第一名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"马拉尼昂州参议院选举:第一名"的当前领先者是"Enilton Rodrigues",概率为 44%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 44%。紧随其后的结果是"Lahesio Bonfim",概率为 44%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"马拉尼昂州参议院选举:第一名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。