Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Marília Arraes 68%
Túlio Gadêlha 14.0%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 13.5%
Mailson da Silva Neto 12%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marília Arraes
76%
Túlio Gadêlha
14%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
14%
Mailson da Silva Neto
15%
Samuel Timoteo
6%
Gorett Bitu
5%
Mendonça Filho
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
2%
Mariano Macedo
18%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
12%
Eduardo da Fonte
1%
Humberto Costa
1%
Marília Arraes 68%
Túlio Gadêlha 14.0%
Pastor Gilvan Costa 13.5%
Mailson da Silva Neto 12%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
Marília Arraes
$281 交易量
76%
Túlio Gadêlha
$116 交易量
14%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$116 交易量
14%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$140 交易量
15%
Samuel Timoteo
$123 交易量
6%
Gorett Bitu
$116 交易量
5%
Mendonça Filho
$116 交易量
5%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$113 交易量
2%
Mariano Macedo
$116 交易量
18%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$116 交易量
12%
Eduardo da Fonte
$113 交易量
1%
Humberto Costa
$113 交易量
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,581结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$1,581结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Marília Arraes (PDT) holds a clear lead in polling for first place in Pernambuco’s October 4, 2026 Senate contest, where voters select two senators. Recent surveys, including Real Time Big Data fieldwork released August 17, place her at 29 percent, ahead of Humberto Costa (PT) at 20 percent and Mendonça Filho (PL) at 18 percent. Arraes benefits from integration into the Popular Front ticket alongside João Campos (PSB), recent formalization of her candidacy in early August, and consistent double-digit advantages in multiple Quaest and Genial polls since June. Eduardo da Fonte (PP) and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), aligned with Governor Raquel Lyra’s group, trail in the low teens, while lower-polling names such as Carlos Sant’Anna, Paulo Rubem Santiago, and Pastor Gilvan Costa register single digits or less. Trader pricing reflects these vote-intention gaps and limited recent shifts in coalition dynamics or campaign momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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