The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢拉 91%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔 26%
作家奥古斯托·库里 26%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 26%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卢拉
77%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
26%
作家奥古斯托·库里
26%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
26%
帕布洛·马沙尔
11%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
26%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
26%
雷南·桑托斯
26%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
25%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
26%
萨玛拉
26%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
16%
泽马
26%
卢拉 91%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔 26%
作家奥古斯托·库里 26%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 26%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
卢拉
$40 交易量
77%
埃德米尔松·科斯塔
$8 交易量
26%
作家奥古斯托·库里
$8 交易量
26%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$8 交易量
26%
帕布洛·马沙尔
$8 交易量
11%
克拉丽安娜·巴拉奥
$8 交易量
26%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$8 交易量
26%
雷南·桑托斯
$8 交易量
26%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$8 交易量
25%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$8 交易量
26%
萨玛拉
$8 交易量
26%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
$8 交易量
16%
泽马
$8 交易量
26%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
交易量
$136结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Sergipe, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Sergipe.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Sergipe. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$136结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented candidate field and regional voting patterns in Sergipe keep probabilities tightly clustered, with Lula at 40% and numerous others near 26% reflecting trader consensus on an open contest ahead of the October 4 first round. National polling shows Lula leading overall but facing pressure from right-leaning challengers such as Flávio Bolsonaro, while smaller parties and lesser-known figures including Wilson Grassi, Edmilson Costa, and Ronaldo Caiado draw localized support without consolidation. Northeast state dynamics, recent candidate declarations, and the absence of decisive Sergipe-specific surveys sustain the balance. Upcoming campaign events or shifts in turnout among key blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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