Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Renan Santos 54%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Romeu Zema 10%
Flávio Bolsonaro 9.2%
$386,034 交易量
$386,034 交易量
Renan Santos
54%
Ronaldo Caiado
19%
Romeu Zema
10%
Flávio Bolsonaro
9%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Camilo Santana
1%
Fernando Haddad
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
Renan Santos 54%
Ronaldo Caiado 19%
Romeu Zema 10%
Flávio Bolsonaro 9.2%
$386,034 交易量
$386,034 交易量
Renan Santos
54%
Ronaldo Caiado
19%
Romeu Zema
10%
Flávio Bolsonaro
9%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%
Camilo Santana
1%
Fernando Haddad
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%
Jair Bolsonaro
<1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
Ratinho Júnior
<1%
Geraldo Alckmin
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Eduardo Leite
<1%
Helder Barbalho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent June 2026 polling shows incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round intentions near 40 percent, followed by Flávio Bolsonaro near 30 percent, leaving a fragmented field for third place among lower-polling right-leaning contenders. Renan Santos of the Mission Party has posted the strongest recent gains in national surveys, particularly among younger voters, positioning him ahead of Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in trader assessments of who will finish third on October 4. Zema and Caiado, both sitting governors, remain competitive alternatives within the opposition but trail Santos in current vote-intention data. Forums among right-wing pre-candidates have highlighted efforts at unity without altering the lower-tier polling hierarchy. Market pricing reflects this distribution of support while leaving room for shifts as official candidacies are confirmed ahead of the first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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