Recent polling ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round shows President Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro firmly ahead, leaving a tight contest for third place among right-leaning alternatives. Renan Santos, the Missão party nominee and former MBL activist, has built support through social-media outreach to younger voters while positioning himself against both Lula and Bolsonarism. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, draws on established center-right networks and executive experience. Traders price Santos ahead for third because recent surveys place the two near 4 percent each, with Santos showing slightly stronger momentum among undecided or protest voters. Scheduled August and September debates, plus any shifts in right-wing fragmentation, remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter the narrow gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷南·桑托斯 59%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 34%
罗梅乌·泽马 4.9%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 3.4%
$539,922 交易量
$539,922 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
59%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
34%
罗梅乌·泽马
5%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
3%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
<1%
费尔南多·阿达
<1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
<1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
<1%
雷南·桑托斯 59%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 34%
罗梅乌·泽马 4.9%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 3.4%
$539,922 交易量
$539,922 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
$180,306 交易量
59%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$51,233 交易量
34%
罗梅乌·泽马
$22,300 交易量
5%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$24,913 交易量
3%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$11,348 交易量
1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
$45,523 交易量
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
$10,181 交易量
<1%
费尔南多·阿达
$20,741 交易量
<1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$8,747 交易量
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
$7,754 交易量
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
$9,865 交易量
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$4,083 交易量
<1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$12,815 交易量
<1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
$104,175 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$13,084 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
$9,374 交易量
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
$3,481 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round shows President Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro firmly ahead, leaving a tight contest for third place among right-leaning alternatives. Renan Santos, the Missão party nominee and former MBL activist, has built support through social-media outreach to younger voters while positioning himself against both Lula and Bolsonarism. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, draws on established center-right networks and executive experience. Traders price Santos ahead for third because recent surveys place the two near 4 percent each, with Santos showing slightly stronger momentum among undecided or protest voters. Scheduled August and September debates, plus any shifts in right-wing fragmentation, remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter the narrow gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$539,922结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polling ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round shows President Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro firmly ahead, leaving a tight contest for third place among right-leaning alternatives. Renan Santos, the Missão party nominee and former MBL activist, has built support through social-media outreach to younger voters while positioning himself against both Lula and Bolsonarism. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, draws on established center-right networks and executive experience. Traders price Santos ahead for third because recent surveys place the two near 4 percent each, with Santos showing slightly stronger momentum among undecided or protest voters. Scheduled August and September debates, plus any shifts in right-wing fragmentation, remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter the narrow gap.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$539,922结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling ahead of Brazil’s October 4 first round shows President Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro firmly ahead, leaving a tight contest for third place among right-leaning alternatives. Renan Santos, the Missão party nominee and former MBL activist, has built support through social-media outreach to younger voters while positioning himself against both Lula and Bolsonarism. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor, draws on established center-right networks and executive experience. Traders price Santos ahead for third because recent surveys place the two near 4 percent each, with Santos showing slightly stronger momentum among undecided or protest voters. Scheduled August and September debates, plus any shifts in right-wing fragmentation, remain the main near-term catalysts that could alter the narrow gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题