Renan Santos holds the clearest edge for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent polling and campaign momentum have positioned him ahead of other non-front-runners. The Mission Party nominee, an anti-establishment figure with strong youth and social-media reach, formalized his bid in July and has posted national figures near 5 percent while outperforming traditional right-wing options among younger voters. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD former Goiás governor who launched earlier, trails in most surveys at roughly 4 percent and remains the main alternative. Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro continue to dominate first- and second-place polling averages, leaving the fragmented center-right field to decide third. Traders have priced this contest between Santos and Caiado as the decisive factor for the remainder of the campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷南·桑托斯 59%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 34%
罗梅乌·泽马 5.1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 3.4%
$539,882 交易量
$539,882 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
59%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
34%
罗梅乌·泽马
5%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
3%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
<1%
费尔南多·阿达
<1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
<1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
<1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
<1%
雷南·桑托斯 59%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 34%
罗梅乌·泽马 5.1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 3.4%
$539,882 交易量
$539,882 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
$180,301 交易量
59%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$51,228 交易量
34%
罗梅乌·泽马
$22,295 交易量
5%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$24,908 交易量
3%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$11,343 交易量
1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
$45,518 交易量
<1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
$10,176 交易量
<1%
费尔南多·阿达
$20,736 交易量
<1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$8,747 交易量
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
$7,754 交易量
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
$9,865 交易量
<1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$4,083 交易量
<1%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$12,815 交易量
<1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
$104,175 交易量
<1%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$13,084 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
$9,374 交易量
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
$3,481 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos holds the clearest edge for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent polling and campaign momentum have positioned him ahead of other non-front-runners. The Mission Party nominee, an anti-establishment figure with strong youth and social-media reach, formalized his bid in July and has posted national figures near 5 percent while outperforming traditional right-wing options among younger voters. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD former Goiás governor who launched earlier, trails in most surveys at roughly 4 percent and remains the main alternative. Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro continue to dominate first- and second-place polling averages, leaving the fragmented center-right field to decide third. Traders have priced this contest between Santos and Caiado as the decisive factor for the remainder of the campaign.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$539,882结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Renan Santos holds the clearest edge for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent polling and campaign momentum have positioned him ahead of other non-front-runners. The Mission Party nominee, an anti-establishment figure with strong youth and social-media reach, formalized his bid in July and has posted national figures near 5 percent while outperforming traditional right-wing options among younger voters. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD former Goiás governor who launched earlier, trails in most surveys at roughly 4 percent and remains the main alternative. Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro continue to dominate first- and second-place polling averages, leaving the fragmented center-right field to decide third. Traders have priced this contest between Santos and Caiado as the decisive factor for the remainder of the campaign.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$539,882结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos holds the clearest edge for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because recent polling and campaign momentum have positioned him ahead of other non-front-runners. The Mission Party nominee, an anti-establishment figure with strong youth and social-media reach, formalized his bid in July and has posted national figures near 5 percent while outperforming traditional right-wing options among younger voters. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD former Goiás governor who launched earlier, trails in most surveys at roughly 4 percent and remains the main alternative. Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro continue to dominate first- and second-place polling averages, leaving the fragmented center-right field to decide third. Traders have priced this contest between Santos and Caiado as the decisive factor for the remainder of the campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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