Skip to main content
icon for 巴西总统选举第一轮:第三名

巴西总统选举第一轮:第三名

icon for 巴西总统选举第一轮:第三名

巴西总统选举第一轮:第三名

罗梅乌·泽马 39%

雷南·桑托斯 33%

罗纳尔多·卡亚多 18%

弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 5.3%

Polymarket

$279,654 交易量

罗梅乌·泽马 39%

雷南·桑托斯 33%

罗纳尔多·卡亚多 18%

弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 5.3%

Polymarket

$279,654 交易量

icon for 罗梅乌·泽马

罗梅乌·泽马

$10,629 交易量

39%

icon for 雷南·桑托斯

雷南·桑托斯

$61,950 交易量

33%

icon for 罗纳尔多·卡亚多

罗纳尔多·卡亚多

$16,728 交易量

18%

icon for 弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗

弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗

$7,036 交易量

5%

icon for 米歇尔·博索纳罗

米歇尔·博索纳罗

$4,817 交易量

5%

icon for 费尔南多·阿达

费尔南多·阿达

$14,354 交易量

4%

icon for 卡米洛·桑塔纳

卡米洛·桑塔纳

$6,116 交易量

3%

icon for 埃尔德·巴尔巴略

埃尔德·巴尔巴略

$83 交易量

2%

icon for 特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜

特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜

$83 交易量

2%

icon for 路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦

路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦

$5,267 交易量

1%

icon for 雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗

雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗

$4,092 交易量

1%

icon for 杰拉尔多·阿尔克明

杰拉尔多·阿尔克明

$4,260 交易量

1%

icon for 爱德华多·莱特

爱德华多·莱特

$2,559 交易量

1%

icon for 塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯

塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯

$4,328 交易量

1%

icon for 爱德华多·博尔索纳罗

爱德华多·博尔索纳罗

$39,622 交易量

<1%

icon for 哈金纽·儒尼奥尔

哈金纽·儒尼奥尔

$93,195 交易量

<1%

icon for 阿尔多·雷贝洛

阿尔多·雷贝洛

$4,536 交易量

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The contest for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round stays closely matched between Romeu Zema and Renan Santos, whose comparable polling support in the low single digits reflects similar regional bases and limited national visibility relative to the leading Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro pairing. Zema’s performance draws from strong backing in Minas Gerais and the NOVO party’s fiscal platform, while Santos benefits from activist networks tied to the Mission Party and Free Brazil Movement. Ronaldo Caiado’s governorship record in Goiás provides a third competitive option, though recent surveys show his support trailing slightly. A May scandal involving Flávio Bolsonaro has introduced modest uncertainty on the right, potentially aiding consolidation among these contenders, yet no major endorsements or debates have yet produced separation ahead of the October vote. Trader pricing captures this persistent parity across key states.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$279,654
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The contest for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round stays closely matched between Romeu Zema and Renan Santos, whose comparable polling support in the low single digits reflects similar regional bases and limited national visibility relative to the leading Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro pairing. Zema’s performance draws from strong backing in Minas Gerais and the NOVO party’s fiscal platform, while Santos benefits from activist networks tied to the Mission Party and Free Brazil Movement. Ronaldo Caiado’s governorship record in Goiás provides a third competitive option, though recent surveys show his support trailing slightly. A May scandal involving Flávio Bolsonaro has introduced modest uncertainty on the right, potentially aiding consolidation among these contenders, yet no major endorsements or debates have yet produced separation ahead of the October vote. Trader pricing captures this persistent parity across key states.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$279,654
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"巴西总统选举第一轮:第三名"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 17 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"罗梅乌·泽马",概率为 39%,其次是"雷南·桑托斯",概率为 33%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 39¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 39%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"巴西总统选举第一轮:第三名"已产生 $279.7K 的总交易量(自Feb 11, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"巴西总统选举第一轮:第三名"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 17 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"巴西总统选举第一轮:第三名"的当前领先者是"罗梅乌·泽马",概率为 39%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 39%。紧随其后的结果是"雷南·桑托斯",概率为 33%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"巴西总统选举第一轮:第三名"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。