President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s April 2026 nomination of Solicitor General Jorge Messias to the Supreme Federal Court (STF) vacancy left by Justice Luís Roberto Barroso’s retirement was rejected by the Senate 42-34—the first such defeat for a Brazilian president in over 130 years. Lula has since indicated he will resubmit Messias or another candidate, with reports pointing to consideration of a female nominee to raise the political cost of further Senate opposition. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre and opposition lawmakers have argued the seat should remain open until after the October 2026 presidential election, creating a procedural standoff. Trader sentiment on whether Lula will announce a new nomination by a near-term deadline reflects the balance between executive persistence, Senate confirmation thresholds, and the compressed timeline before the electoral transition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,084 交易量
2026-12-31
6月30日
19%
9月30日
54%
12月31日
76%
$13,084 交易量
6月30日
$9,102 交易量
19%
9月30日
$1,416 交易量
54%
12月31日
$2,565 交易量
76%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s April 2026 nomination of Solicitor General Jorge Messias to the Supreme Federal Court (STF) vacancy left by Justice Luís Roberto Barroso’s retirement was rejected by the Senate 42-34—the first such defeat for a Brazilian president in over 130 years. Lula has since indicated he will resubmit Messias or another candidate, with reports pointing to consideration of a female nominee to raise the political cost of further Senate opposition. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre and opposition lawmakers have argued the seat should remain open until after the October 2026 presidential election, creating a procedural standoff. Trader sentiment on whether Lula will announce a new nomination by a near-term deadline reflects the balance between executive persistence, Senate confirmation thresholds, and the compressed timeline before the electoral transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ET
交易量
$13,084结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s April 2026 nomination of Solicitor General Jorge Messias to the Supreme Federal Court (STF) vacancy left by Justice Luís Roberto Barroso’s retirement was rejected by the Senate 42-34—the first such defeat for a Brazilian president in over 130 years. Lula has since indicated he will resubmit Messias or another candidate, with reports pointing to consideration of a female nominee to raise the political cost of further Senate opposition. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre and opposition lawmakers have argued the seat should remain open until after the October 2026 presidential election, creating a procedural standoff. Trader sentiment on whether Lula will announce a new nomination by a near-term deadline reflects the balance between executive persistence, Senate confirmation thresholds, and the compressed timeline before the electoral transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,084结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s April 2026 nomination of Solicitor General Jorge Messias to the Supreme Federal Court (STF) vacancy left by Justice Luís Roberto Barroso’s retirement was rejected by the Senate 42-34—the first such defeat for a Brazilian president in over 130 years. Lula has since indicated he will resubmit Messias or another candidate, with reports pointing to consideration of a female nominee to raise the political cost of further Senate opposition. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre and opposition lawmakers have argued the seat should remain open until after the October 2026 presidential election, creating a procedural standoff. Trader sentiment on whether Lula will announce a new nomination by a near-term deadline reflects the balance between executive persistence, Senate confirmation thresholds, and the compressed timeline before the electoral transition.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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