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icon for Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被起诉或逮捕?

Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被起诉或逮捕?

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被起诉或逮捕?

Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被起诉或逮捕?

27% 概率
Polymarket
最新

27% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Flávio Bolsonaro, a Brazilian senator and leading 2026 presidential contender, faces multiple investigations, including a Supreme Court-authorized probe into alleged defamatory statements about President Lula and scrutiny over financial ties to a disgraced banker in the Banco Master case, with leaks surfacing in May 2026. Earlier proceedings, such as the rachadinha embezzlement allegations, have been dismissed or stalled by higher courts. As a sitting senator with parliamentary privileges and an active campaign role, formal charges or arrest would require overcoming procedural thresholds and Senate dynamics. No major new indictments have advanced recently, supporting trader expectations that action is unlikely before the September 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,251
结束日期
2026-10-01
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Flávio Bolsonaro, a Brazilian senator and leading 2026 presidential contender, faces multiple investigations, including a Supreme Court-authorized probe into alleged defamatory statements about President Lula and scrutiny over financial ties to a disgraced banker in the Banco Master case, with leaks surfacing in May 2026. Earlier proceedings, such as the rachadinha embezzlement allegations, have been dismissed or stalled by higher courts. As a sitting senator with parliamentary privileges and an active campaign role, formal charges or arrest would require overcoming procedural thresholds and Senate dynamics. No major new indictments have advanced recently, supporting trader expectations that action is unlikely before the September 30 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,251
结束日期
2026-10-01
市场开放时间
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被起诉或逮捕?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日前会被指控或逮捕吗?",概率为 27%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 27¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 27%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被起诉或逮捕?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Jun 10, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被起诉或逮捕?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被起诉或逮捕?"的当前领先者是"Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日前会被指控或逮捕吗?",概率为 27%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 27%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Flávio Bolsonaro在9月30日之前被起诉或逮捕?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。