President Trump’s 2025 designations of major Mexican and Latin American cartels as foreign terrorist organizations, followed by a secret Pentagon directive authorizing military force on foreign soil and at sea, established the legal and operational framework for direct U.S. action. Maritime strikes against cartel vessels have continued since September 2025, while the March 2026 launch of the 17-nation Americas Counter Cartel Coalition formalized intelligence sharing and partner training for lethal operations. Mexican authorities conducted the February 2026 raid that killed CJNG leader El Mencho using U.S. intelligence, yet Mexico has repeatedly protested unauthorized U.S. personnel presence, as seen in the April 2026 Chihuahua incident. Defense Secretary Hegseth’s mid-June statements on readiness for expanded strikes, combined with ongoing SOUTHCOM planning and coalition commitments, shape trader views on whether confirmed U.S. kinetic participation will occur before any June 30 resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-06-30
June 30
39%
July 31
53%
$0.00 交易量
June 30
$0 交易量
39%
July 31
$0 交易量
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.President Trump’s 2025 designations of major Mexican and Latin American cartels as foreign terrorist organizations, followed by a secret Pentagon directive authorizing military force on foreign soil and at sea, established the legal and operational framework for direct U.S. action. Maritime strikes against cartel vessels have continued since September 2025, while the March 2026 launch of the 17-nation Americas Counter Cartel Coalition formalized intelligence sharing and partner training for lethal operations. Mexican authorities conducted the February 2026 raid that killed CJNG leader El Mencho using U.S. intelligence, yet Mexico has repeatedly protested unauthorized U.S. personnel presence, as seen in the April 2026 Chihuahua incident. Defense Secretary Hegseth’s mid-June statements on readiness for expanded strikes, combined with ongoing SOUTHCOM planning and coalition commitments, shape trader views on whether confirmed U.S. kinetic participation will occur before any June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jun 17, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.President Trump’s 2025 designations of major Mexican and Latin American cartels as foreign terrorist organizations, followed by a secret Pentagon directive authorizing military force on foreign soil and at sea, established the legal and operational framework for direct U.S. action. Maritime strikes against cartel vessels have continued since September 2025, while the March 2026 launch of the 17-nation Americas Counter Cartel Coalition formalized intelligence sharing and partner training for lethal operations. Mexican authorities conducted the February 2026 raid that killed CJNG leader El Mencho using U.S. intelligence, yet Mexico has repeatedly protested unauthorized U.S. personnel presence, as seen in the April 2026 Chihuahua incident. Defense Secretary Hegseth’s mid-June statements on readiness for expanded strikes, combined with ongoing SOUTHCOM planning and coalition commitments, shape trader views on whether confirmed U.S. kinetic participation will occur before any June 30 resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participate on the ground in an anti-cartel operation or conduct a kinetic strike directed against a cartel on foreign soil between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count.
Only direct U.S. participation, confirmed by the U.S. Government or by an overwhelming consensus of reporting, will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government; however, an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 17, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s 2025 designations of major Mexican and Latin American cartels as foreign terrorist organizations, followed by a secret Pentagon directive authorizing military force on foreign soil and at sea, established the legal and operational framework for direct U.S. action. Maritime strikes against cartel vessels have continued since September 2025, while the March 2026 launch of the 17-nation Americas Counter Cartel Coalition formalized intelligence sharing and partner training for lethal operations. Mexican authorities conducted the February 2026 raid that killed CJNG leader El Mencho using U.S. intelligence, yet Mexico has repeatedly protested unauthorized U.S. personnel presence, as seen in the April 2026 Chihuahua incident. Defense Secretary Hegseth’s mid-June statements on readiness for expanded strikes, combined with ongoing SOUTHCOM planning and coalition commitments, shape trader views on whether confirmed U.S. kinetic participation will occur before any June 30 resolution date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题