The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) holding the highest implied probability after resigning as João Pessoa mayor in April to enter. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows technical ties between Lucena and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in first-round scenarios, alongside notable support for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and smaller shares for Romero Rodrigues, Efraim Filho, and others. Multiple viable candidacies, shifting party alliances, and the possibility of a runoff if no candidate exceeds 50 percent keep outcomes uncertain. Trader positioning reflects this dispersion of support and limited recent catalysts capable of consolidating preferences before primaries and formal campaigning intensify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于西塞罗·卢塞纳 41%
埃夫拉因·菲略 17%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 14.0%
Nilvan Ferreira 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
西塞罗·卢塞纳
41%
埃夫拉因·菲略
17%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
31%
Nilvan Ferreira
6%
马塞洛·奎罗加
5%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯
4%
弗拉维奥·卢西奥
2%
西塞罗·卢塞纳 41%
埃夫拉因·菲略 17%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 14.0%
Nilvan Ferreira 6.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
西塞罗·卢塞纳
$2,374 交易量
41%
埃夫拉因·菲略
$81 交易量
17%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$145 交易量
31%
Nilvan Ferreira
$81 交易量
6%
马塞洛·奎罗加
$101 交易量
5%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯
$210 交易量
4%
弗拉维奥·卢西奥
$168 交易量
2%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) holding the highest implied probability after resigning as João Pessoa mayor in April to enter. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows technical ties between Lucena and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in first-round scenarios, alongside notable support for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and smaller shares for Romero Rodrigues, Efraim Filho, and others. Multiple viable candidacies, shifting party alliances, and the possibility of a runoff if no candidate exceeds 50 percent keep outcomes uncertain. Trader positioning reflects this dispersion of support and limited recent catalysts capable of consolidating preferences before primaries and formal campaigning intensify.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
交易量
$3,160结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) holding the highest implied probability after resigning as João Pessoa mayor in April to enter. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows technical ties between Lucena and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in first-round scenarios, alongside notable support for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and smaller shares for Romero Rodrigues, Efraim Filho, and others. Multiple viable candidacies, shifting party alliances, and the possibility of a runoff if no candidate exceeds 50 percent keep outcomes uncertain. Trader positioning reflects this dispersion of support and limited recent catalysts capable of consolidating preferences before primaries and formal campaigning intensify.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$3,160结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial race remains fragmented ahead of the October 4, 2026 first round, with Cícero Lucena (MDB) holding the highest implied probability after resigning as João Pessoa mayor in April to enter. Recent Real Time Big Data polling shows technical ties between Lucena and incumbent Lucas Ribeiro (PP) in first-round scenarios, alongside notable support for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo and smaller shares for Romero Rodrigues, Efraim Filho, and others. Multiple viable candidacies, shifting party alliances, and the possibility of a runoff if no candidate exceeds 50 percent keep outcomes uncertain. Trader positioning reflects this dispersion of support and limited recent catalysts capable of consolidating preferences before primaries and formal campaigning intensify.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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