Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于卢卡斯·里贝罗 81%
埃夫拉因·菲略 10%
西塞罗·卢塞纳 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,668 交易量
$62,668 交易量
2026-10-04
卢卡斯·里贝罗
81%
埃夫拉因·菲略
10%
西塞罗·卢塞纳
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
1%
弗拉维奥·卢西奥
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯
<1%
马塞洛·奎罗加
<1%
卢卡斯·里贝罗 81%
埃夫拉因·菲略 10%
西塞罗·卢塞纳 6%
Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%
$62,668 交易量
$62,668 交易量
2026-10-04
卢卡斯·里贝罗
$18,684 交易量
81%
埃夫拉因·菲略
$14,308 交易量
10%
西塞罗·卢塞纳
$20,569 交易量
6%
Nilvan Ferreira
$899 交易量
1%
弗拉维奥·卢西奥
$881 交易量
1%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,436 交易量
1%
罗梅罗·罗德里格斯
$1,511 交易量
<1%
马塞洛·奎罗加
$3,381 交易量
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
交易量
$62,668结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETThe Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$62,668结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETLucas Ribeiro, the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation, holds a commanding position in the October 4 first-round contest. Recent August polling from Quaest and DataTrends showed him at 34–40% support, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) and Efraim Filho (PL) in the low-to-mid 20s, with lower rejection ratings than rivals. Ongoing September campaign activity—including televised interviews, radio appearances, and neighborhood walks—has reinforced his visibility while opponents focus on similar events without narrowing the gap. A mid-September legal challenge filed by Lucena alleging improper state hiring increases introduces uncertainty but has not shifted the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The short timeline to the first round and potential runoff on October 25 limits opportunities for major reversals absent significant late developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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