United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive organizational reach, endorsement from Governor Denis Pasler as list leader, and consistent success in prior cycles under Russia's mixed electoral system of 25 single-mandate districts and 25 proportional seats. Six parties qualified for the September 18–20, 2026, vote, yet opposition groups including CPRF, A Just Russia, New People, LDPR, and Yabloko face structural constraints and have historically secured far fewer mandates. Recent candidate registrations and limited disqualifications have not altered the balance. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages, though late shifts in turnout, district-level mobilization, or unforeseen administrative changes could theoretically narrow margins in a closely contested regional contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于United Russia 96.2%
CPRF 3.2%
New People 3.0%
A Just Russia <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
96%
CPRF
3%
New People
3%
A Just Russia
<1%
LDPR
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
United Russia 96.2%
CPRF 3.2%
New People 3.0%
A Just Russia <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
United Russia
$797 交易量
96%
CPRF
$808 交易量
3%
New People
$379 交易量
3%
A Just Russia
$637 交易量
<1%
LDPR
$678 交易量
<1%
Yabloko
$508 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive organizational reach, endorsement from Governor Denis Pasler as list leader, and consistent success in prior cycles under Russia's mixed electoral system of 25 single-mandate districts and 25 proportional seats. Six parties qualified for the September 18–20, 2026, vote, yet opposition groups including CPRF, A Just Russia, New People, LDPR, and Yabloko face structural constraints and have historically secured far fewer mandates. Recent candidate registrations and limited disqualifications have not altered the balance. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages, though late shifts in turnout, district-level mobilization, or unforeseen administrative changes could theoretically narrow margins in a closely contested regional contest.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间： Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
交易量
$3,807结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive organizational reach, endorsement from Governor Denis Pasler as list leader, and consistent success in prior cycles under Russia's mixed electoral system of 25 single-mandate districts and 25 proportional seats. Six parties qualified for the September 18–20, 2026, vote, yet opposition groups including CPRF, A Just Russia, New People, LDPR, and Yabloko face structural constraints and have historically secured far fewer mandates. Recent candidate registrations and limited disqualifications have not altered the balance. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages, though late shifts in turnout, district-level mobilization, or unforeseen administrative changes could theoretically narrow margins in a closely contested regional contest.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Sverdlovsk Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sverdlovsk Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Sverdlovsk Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
交易量
$3,807结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETUnited Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Sverdlovsk Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its status as the ruling party with extensive organizational reach, endorsement from Governor Denis Pasler as list leader, and consistent success in prior cycles under Russia's mixed electoral system of 25 single-mandate districts and 25 proportional seats. Six parties qualified for the September 18–20, 2026, vote, yet opposition groups including CPRF, A Just Russia, New People, LDPR, and Yabloko face structural constraints and have historically secured far fewer mandates. Recent candidate registrations and limited disqualifications have not altered the balance. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched advantages, though late shifts in turnout, district-level mobilization, or unforeseen administrative changes could theoretically narrow margins in a closely contested regional contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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