United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Vologda Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its established control of the regional government, strong performance in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system, and consistent majority outcomes in prior cycles. With voting set for 18–20 September alongside the federal election, the party benefits from top ballot placement in the region and broad administrative alignment typical of ruling party contests. Opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and smaller lists trail far behind in historical results and current positioning, limiting their path to the most seats. Trader consensus at 95% reflects these structural patterns, though late shifts in turnout or federal developments could still influence final seat shares before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于United Russia 95.1%
CPRF 4.5%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
$12,830 交易量
$12,830 交易量

United Russia
95%

CPRF
5%

New People
1%

LDPR
1%

Communists of Russia
<1%

Party of Pensioners
<1%

A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 95.1%
CPRF 4.5%
New People <1%
LDPR <1%
$12,830 交易量
$12,830 交易量

United Russia
95%

CPRF
5%

New People
1%

LDPR
1%

Communists of Russia
<1%

Party of Pensioners
<1%

A Just Russia
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
市场开放时间: Jul 28, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Vologda Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Vologda Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Vologda Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Vologda Oblast Legislative Assembly election due to its established control of the regional government, strong performance in single-member districts under the mixed electoral system, and consistent majority outcomes in prior cycles. With voting set for 18–20 September alongside the federal election, the party benefits from top ballot placement in the region and broad administrative alignment typical of ruling party contests. Opposition parties such as CPRF, LDPR, and smaller lists trail far behind in historical results and current positioning, limiting their path to the most seats. Trader consensus at 95% reflects these structural patterns, though late shifts in turnout or federal developments could still influence final seat shares before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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