South Carolina's Republican lean in federal elections continues to shape trader consensus around an 89% implied probability for the GOP nominee in the November 2026 Senate contest. Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination after the June primary, yet faces an incumbent party that has held both Senate seats for decades in a state where Republican candidates routinely post double-digit margins. The death of Lindsey Graham in July triggered a special Republican primary process, with Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advancing to an August 25 runoff to determine the general-election standard-bearer; this timeline keeps the focus on party-line voting patterns and turnout rather than individual candidate dynamics. Historical base rates in similar Southern Senate races reinforce the current pricing, though late shifts in national conditions or turnout could still adjust probabilities before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$144,326 交易量
$144,326 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
89%
民主党
12%
$144,326 交易量
$144,326 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$61,885 交易量
89%
民主党
$82,441 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's Republican lean in federal elections continues to shape trader consensus around an 89% implied probability for the GOP nominee in the November 2026 Senate contest. Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination after the June primary, yet faces an incumbent party that has held both Senate seats for decades in a state where Republican candidates routinely post double-digit margins. The death of Lindsey Graham in July triggered a special Republican primary process, with Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advancing to an August 25 runoff to determine the general-election standard-bearer; this timeline keeps the focus on party-line voting patterns and turnout rather than individual candidate dynamics. Historical base rates in similar Southern Senate races reinforce the current pricing, though late shifts in national conditions or turnout could still adjust probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$144,326结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.South Carolina's Republican lean in federal elections continues to shape trader consensus around an 89% implied probability for the GOP nominee in the November 2026 Senate contest. Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination after the June primary, yet faces an incumbent party that has held both Senate seats for decades in a state where Republican candidates routinely post double-digit margins. The death of Lindsey Graham in July triggered a special Republican primary process, with Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advancing to an August 25 runoff to determine the general-election standard-bearer; this timeline keeps the focus on party-line voting patterns and turnout rather than individual candidate dynamics. Historical base rates in similar Southern Senate races reinforce the current pricing, though late shifts in national conditions or turnout could still adjust probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$144,326结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's Republican lean in federal elections continues to shape trader consensus around an 89% implied probability for the GOP nominee in the November 2026 Senate contest. Democrat Annie Andrews secured her party's nomination after the June primary, yet faces an incumbent party that has held both Senate seats for decades in a state where Republican candidates routinely post double-digit margins. The death of Lindsey Graham in July triggered a special Republican primary process, with Darline Graham and Ralph Norman advancing to an August 25 runoff to determine the general-election standard-bearer; this timeline keeps the focus on party-line voting patterns and turnout rather than individual candidate dynamics. Historical base rates in similar Southern Senate races reinforce the current pricing, though late shifts in national conditions or turnout could still adjust probabilities before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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