Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham maintains a strong lead in South Carolina's Republican primary polls ahead of the June 9, 2026, contest, with recent surveys like Pulse Opinion Research (March 2026) showing him at 41% against challenger Mark Lynch's 21%, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $11 million cash on hand. Despite MAGA criticism and Paul Dans' April withdrawal to back Lynch, Graham's fundraising dominance deters a serious threat in this GOP stronghold. Likely Democratic nominee Annie Andrews trails Graham 47%-42% in February-March Impact Research polling, reflecting the state's Republican lean—no Democrat has won here since 1998—and historical incumbency advantages, driving trader consensus to an 80.5% implied probability for a Republican victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,534 交易量
$29,534 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
81%
民主党
21%
$29,534 交易量
$29,534 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,165 交易量
81%
民主党
$18,369 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham maintains a strong lead in South Carolina's Republican primary polls ahead of the June 9, 2026, contest, with recent surveys like Pulse Opinion Research (March 2026) showing him at 41% against challenger Mark Lynch's 21%, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $11 million cash on hand. Despite MAGA criticism and Paul Dans' April withdrawal to back Lynch, Graham's fundraising dominance deters a serious threat in this GOP stronghold. Likely Democratic nominee Annie Andrews trails Graham 47%-42% in February-March Impact Research polling, reflecting the state's Republican lean—no Democrat has won here since 1998—and historical incumbency advantages, driving trader consensus to an 80.5% implied probability for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$29,534结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham maintains a strong lead in South Carolina's Republican primary polls ahead of the June 9, 2026, contest, with recent surveys like Pulse Opinion Research (March 2026) showing him at 41% against challenger Mark Lynch's 21%, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $11 million cash on hand. Despite MAGA criticism and Paul Dans' April withdrawal to back Lynch, Graham's fundraising dominance deters a serious threat in this GOP stronghold. Likely Democratic nominee Annie Andrews trails Graham 47%-42% in February-March Impact Research polling, reflecting the state's Republican lean—no Democrat has won here since 1998—and historical incumbency advantages, driving trader consensus to an 80.5% implied probability for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$29,534结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham maintains a strong lead in South Carolina's Republican primary polls ahead of the June 9, 2026, contest, with recent surveys like Pulse Opinion Research (March 2026) showing him at 41% against challenger Mark Lynch's 21%, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and over $11 million cash on hand. Despite MAGA criticism and Paul Dans' April withdrawal to back Lynch, Graham's fundraising dominance deters a serious threat in this GOP stronghold. Likely Democratic nominee Annie Andrews trails Graham 47%-42% in February-March Impact Research polling, reflecting the state's Republican lean—no Democrat has won here since 1998—and historical incumbency advantages, driving trader consensus to an 80.5% implied probability for a Republican victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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