Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the CA-46 nomination in the June 2026 primary with a comfortable margin over Republican David Pan, reflecting the Orange County district's consistent Democratic lean and Correa's established record since 2017. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 95 percent aligns with this baseline advantage, as the seat shows limited competitiveness in recent cycles and faces no major redistricting shifts ahead of the November general election. Key factors sustaining these odds include Correa's fundraising and name recognition against a less-resourced challenger. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen national Republican wave, candidate health developments, or late scandals that shift turnout in this low-profile contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,432 交易量
$17,432 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$17,432 交易量
$17,432 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$4,636 交易量
95%
共和党
$12,795 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the CA-46 nomination in the June 2026 primary with a comfortable margin over Republican David Pan, reflecting the Orange County district's consistent Democratic lean and Correa's established record since 2017. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 95 percent aligns with this baseline advantage, as the seat shows limited competitiveness in recent cycles and faces no major redistricting shifts ahead of the November general election. Key factors sustaining these odds include Correa's fundraising and name recognition against a less-resourced challenger. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen national Republican wave, candidate health developments, or late scandals that shift turnout in this low-profile contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$17,432结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the CA-46 nomination in the June 2026 primary with a comfortable margin over Republican David Pan, reflecting the Orange County district's consistent Democratic lean and Correa's established record since 2017. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 95 percent aligns with this baseline advantage, as the seat shows limited competitiveness in recent cycles and faces no major redistricting shifts ahead of the November general election. Key factors sustaining these odds include Correa's fundraising and name recognition against a less-resourced challenger. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen national Republican wave, candidate health developments, or late scandals that shift turnout in this low-profile contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-46 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,432结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lou Correa secured the CA-46 nomination in the June 2026 primary with a comfortable margin over Republican David Pan, reflecting the Orange County district's consistent Democratic lean and Correa's established record since 2017. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 95 percent aligns with this baseline advantage, as the seat shows limited competitiveness in recent cycles and faces no major redistricting shifts ahead of the November general election. Key factors sustaining these odds include Correa's fundraising and name recognition against a less-resourced challenger. Scenarios that could realistically narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen national Republican wave, candidate health developments, or late scandals that shift turnout in this low-profile contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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