New York’s Ninth Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent representative’s consistent general-election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. With the June 23 Democratic primary approaching, the frontrunner holds broad institutional support, limiting any realistic threat from challengers and preserving the party’s position heading into the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee minimal prospects because the district lacks competitive swing demographics or recent polling shifts that would signal a viable path to victory. A major national Republican wave or an unexpected primary upset producing a damaged Democratic nominee could still narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$29,405 交易量
$29,405 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$29,405 交易量
$29,405 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,365 交易量
94%
共和党
$12,040 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s Ninth Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent representative’s consistent general-election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. With the June 23 Democratic primary approaching, the frontrunner holds broad institutional support, limiting any realistic threat from challengers and preserving the party’s position heading into the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee minimal prospects because the district lacks competitive swing demographics or recent polling shifts that would signal a viable path to victory. A major national Republican wave or an unexpected primary upset producing a damaged Democratic nominee could still narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$29,405结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s Ninth Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent representative’s consistent general-election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. With the June 23 Democratic primary approaching, the frontrunner holds broad institutional support, limiting any realistic threat from challengers and preserving the party’s position heading into the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee minimal prospects because the district lacks competitive swing demographics or recent polling shifts that would signal a viable path to victory. A major national Republican wave or an unexpected primary upset producing a damaged Democratic nominee could still narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,405结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s Ninth Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+22 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent representative’s consistent general-election margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. With the June 23 Democratic primary approaching, the frontrunner holds broad institutional support, limiting any realistic threat from challengers and preserving the party’s position heading into the November 3 general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee minimal prospects because the district lacks competitive swing demographics or recent polling shifts that would signal a viable path to victory. A major national Republican wave or an unexpected primary upset producing a damaged Democratic nominee could still narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题