Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes holds a strong position in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results, and Hayes has secured consistent reelection since 2018 with solid fundraising and organizational support. Her Democratic primary advanced without opposition, while Republican nominee Chris Shea, a local firefighter, emerged from a contested primary on August 11. Trader consensus around a 93-94% Democratic win probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Likely or Solid Democratic. A major national partisan shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected developments affecting Hayes could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural and incumbency advantages make an upset improbable under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$3,565 交易量
94%
共和党
$2,591 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes holds a strong position in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results, and Hayes has secured consistent reelection since 2018 with solid fundraising and organizational support. Her Democratic primary advanced without opposition, while Republican nominee Chris Shea, a local firefighter, emerged from a contested primary on August 11. Trader consensus around a 93-94% Democratic win probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Likely or Solid Democratic. A major national partisan shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected developments affecting Hayes could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural and incumbency advantages make an upset improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
交易量
$6,156结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes holds a strong position in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results, and Hayes has secured consistent reelection since 2018 with solid fundraising and organizational support. Her Democratic primary advanced without opposition, while Republican nominee Chris Shea, a local firefighter, emerged from a contested primary on August 11. Trader consensus around a 93-94% Democratic win probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Likely or Solid Democratic. A major national partisan shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected developments affecting Hayes could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural and incumbency advantages make an upset improbable under current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,156结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Jahana Hayes holds a strong position in Connecticut’s 5th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a modest Democratic lean, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results, and Hayes has secured consistent reelection since 2018 with solid fundraising and organizational support. Her Democratic primary advanced without opposition, while Republican nominee Chris Shea, a local firefighter, emerged from a contested primary on August 11. Trader consensus around a 93-94% Democratic win probability aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Likely or Solid Democratic. A major national partisan shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or unexpected developments affecting Hayes could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural and incumbency advantages make an upset improbable under current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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