The open seat created by Republican incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement has produced a Republican nominee in his brother Trever Nehls, who secured the March 2026 primary nomination. The district’s consistent Republican performance—marked by strong margins in the 2024 presidential and congressional voting—underpins the current 87.5% trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in this suburban Houston area. With the Democratic nominee now set and the November general election still months away, primary results and historical partisan leanings remain the dominant drivers keeping Republican probabilities elevated while leaving modest room for later shifts from turnout or national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于TX-22 House Election Winner
TX-22 House Election Winner
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
11%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$1,249 交易量
90%
Democratic Party
$2,615 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement has produced a Republican nominee in his brother Trever Nehls, who secured the March 2026 primary nomination. The district’s consistent Republican performance—marked by strong margins in the 2024 presidential and congressional voting—underpins the current 87.5% trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in this suburban Houston area. With the Democratic nominee now set and the November general election still months away, primary results and historical partisan leanings remain the dominant drivers keeping Republican probabilities elevated while leaving modest room for later shifts from turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$3,865结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement has produced a Republican nominee in his brother Trever Nehls, who secured the March 2026 primary nomination. The district’s consistent Republican performance—marked by strong margins in the 2024 presidential and congressional voting—underpins the current 87.5% trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in this suburban Houston area. With the Democratic nominee now set and the November general election still months away, primary results and historical partisan leanings remain the dominant drivers keeping Republican probabilities elevated while leaving modest room for later shifts from turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,865结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican incumbent Troy Nehls’s retirement has produced a Republican nominee in his brother Trever Nehls, who secured the March 2026 primary nomination. The district’s consistent Republican performance—marked by strong margins in the 2024 presidential and congressional voting—underpins the current 87.5% trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic competitiveness in this suburban Houston area. With the Democratic nominee now set and the November general election still months away, primary results and historical partisan leanings remain the dominant drivers keeping Republican probabilities elevated while leaving modest room for later shifts from turnout or national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题