Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2025 redistricting that added to the party's structural advantages in the state. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, but his identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March primary by a wide margin against limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. The Democratic nominee faces steep structural barriers in a district where Republicans have won by double-digit margins. A late national shift in voter sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout, or significant Republican candidate issues could narrow the gap, though such developments would need to overcome the seat's established baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,511 交易量
$15,511 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$15,511 交易量
$15,511 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,922 交易量
93%
民主党
$9,589 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2025 redistricting that added to the party's structural advantages in the state. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, but his identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March primary by a wide margin against limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. The Democratic nominee faces steep structural barriers in a district where Republicans have won by double-digit margins. A late national shift in voter sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout, or significant Republican candidate issues could narrow the gap, though such developments would need to overcome the seat's established baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$15,511结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2025 redistricting that added to the party's structural advantages in the state. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, but his identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March primary by a wide margin against limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. The Democratic nominee faces steep structural barriers in a district where Republicans have won by double-digit margins. A late national shift in voter sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout, or significant Republican candidate issues could narrow the gap, though such developments would need to overcome the seat's established baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,511结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2025 redistricting that added to the party's structural advantages in the state. Incumbent Troy Nehls retired ahead of the 2026 cycle, but his identical twin brother Trever Nehls secured the GOP nomination in the March primary by a wide margin against limited opposition. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. The Democratic nominee faces steep structural barriers in a district where Republicans have won by double-digit margins. A late national shift in voter sentiment, unusually high Democratic turnout, or significant Republican candidate issues could narrow the gap, though such developments would need to overcome the seat's established baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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