The open seat created by Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal has produced a November general election matchup between Republican nominee Brandon Herrera and Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the sprawling, Hispanic-majority border district. TX-23's consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for the party's presidential candidate, anchors trader positioning at 69 percent for the GOP. Recent summer polling shows Herrera ahead by four to six points, while the DCCC's early August addition of the race to its target list highlights Democratic efforts to mobilize border voters. Fundraising edges and nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as likely Republican further support current market probabilities ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,470 交易量
$38,470 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
69%
民主党
31%
$38,470 交易量
$38,470 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$22,643 交易量
69%
民主党
$15,827 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal has produced a November general election matchup between Republican nominee Brandon Herrera and Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the sprawling, Hispanic-majority border district. TX-23's consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for the party's presidential candidate, anchors trader positioning at 69 percent for the GOP. Recent summer polling shows Herrera ahead by four to six points, while the DCCC's early August addition of the race to its target list highlights Democratic efforts to mobilize border voters. Fundraising edges and nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as likely Republican further support current market probabilities ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$38,470结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal has produced a November general election matchup between Republican nominee Brandon Herrera and Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the sprawling, Hispanic-majority border district. TX-23's consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for the party's presidential candidate, anchors trader positioning at 69 percent for the GOP. Recent summer polling shows Herrera ahead by four to six points, while the DCCC's early August addition of the race to its target list highlights Democratic efforts to mobilize border voters. Fundraising edges and nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as likely Republican further support current market probabilities ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,470结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican incumbent Tony Gonzales's April 2026 resignation amid scandal has produced a November general election matchup between Republican nominee Brandon Herrera and Democrat Katy Padilla Stout in the sprawling, Hispanic-majority border district. TX-23's consistent Republican lean in recent cycles, including double-digit margins for the party's presidential candidate, anchors trader positioning at 69 percent for the GOP. Recent summer polling shows Herrera ahead by four to six points, while the DCCC's early August addition of the race to its target list highlights Democratic efforts to mobilize border voters. Fundraising edges and nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as likely Republican further support current market probabilities ahead of Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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