Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69.5% in the TX-23 House race due to the district's R+7 Cook PVI lean and Brandon Herrera's emergence as the GOP nominee after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew from the March 2026 primary runoff amid a personal scandal. Herrera, a popular firearms entrepreneur and YouTuber emphasizing gun rights and border security, raised over $1.5 million early, bolstering his position against Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout. A March PPP poll showed Herrera leading 42%-40%, while forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. With primaries resolved and no major shifts in the past month, the general election on November 3 remains the key date, though Democratic turnout in swing areas like San Antonio could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,579 交易量
$16,579 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
70%
民主党
26%
$16,579 交易量
$16,579 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,336 交易量
70%
民主党
$7,243 交易量
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69.5% in the TX-23 House race due to the district's R+7 Cook PVI lean and Brandon Herrera's emergence as the GOP nominee after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew from the March 2026 primary runoff amid a personal scandal. Herrera, a popular firearms entrepreneur and YouTuber emphasizing gun rights and border security, raised over $1.5 million early, bolstering his position against Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout. A March PPP poll showed Herrera leading 42%-40%, while forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. With primaries resolved and no major shifts in the past month, the general election on November 3 remains the key date, though Democratic turnout in swing areas like San Antonio could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$16,579结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69.5% in the TX-23 House race due to the district's R+7 Cook PVI lean and Brandon Herrera's emergence as the GOP nominee after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew from the March 2026 primary runoff amid a personal scandal. Herrera, a popular firearms entrepreneur and YouTuber emphasizing gun rights and border security, raised over $1.5 million early, bolstering his position against Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout. A March PPP poll showed Herrera leading 42%-40%, while forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. With primaries resolved and no major shifts in the past month, the general election on November 3 remains the key date, though Democratic turnout in swing areas like San Antonio could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,579结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 69.5% in the TX-23 House race due to the district's R+7 Cook PVI lean and Brandon Herrera's emergence as the GOP nominee after incumbent Tony Gonzales withdrew from the March 2026 primary runoff amid a personal scandal. Herrera, a popular firearms entrepreneur and YouTuber emphasizing gun rights and border security, raised over $1.5 million early, bolstering his position against Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout. A March PPP poll showed Herrera leading 42%-40%, while forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. With primaries resolved and no major shifts in the past month, the general election on November 3 remains the key date, though Democratic turnout in swing areas like San Antonio could narrow the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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