Recent polls from late August show incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leading João Campos (PSB) by eight points in the first-round scenario and widening her edge to ten points in a potential runoff, supported by 68% approval for her administration. Earlier surveys from July placed the pair closer or within the margin of error, reflecting Lyra’s gains since the campaign began and stable voter preference for her reelection bid. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register at 1% or below, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Pernambuco’s gubernatorial race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于拉克尔·利拉 67%
若昂·坎波斯 34%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 <1%
$32,647 交易量
$32,647 交易量
2026-10-04
拉克尔·利拉
67%
若昂·坎波斯
34%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
<1%
拉克尔·利拉 67%
若昂·坎波斯 34%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 <1%
$32,647 交易量
$32,647 交易量
2026-10-04
拉克尔·利拉
$15,033 交易量
67%
若昂·坎波斯
$14,539 交易量
34%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
$3,075 交易量
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August show incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leading João Campos (PSB) by eight points in the first-round scenario and widening her edge to ten points in a potential runoff, supported by 68% approval for her administration. Earlier surveys from July placed the pair closer or within the margin of error, reflecting Lyra’s gains since the campaign began and stable voter preference for her reelection bid. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register at 1% or below, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Pernambuco’s gubernatorial race.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$32,647结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThe Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from late August show incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leading João Campos (PSB) by eight points in the first-round scenario and widening her edge to ten points in a potential runoff, supported by 68% approval for her administration. Earlier surveys from July placed the pair closer or within the margin of error, reflecting Lyra’s gains since the campaign began and stable voter preference for her reelection bid. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register at 1% or below, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Pernambuco’s gubernatorial race.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$32,647结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRecent polls from late August show incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leading João Campos (PSB) by eight points in the first-round scenario and widening her edge to ten points in a potential runoff, supported by 68% approval for her administration. Earlier surveys from July placed the pair closer or within the margin of error, reflecting Lyra’s gains since the campaign began and stable voter preference for her reelection bid. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register at 1% or below, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners ahead of the October vote. Trader consensus aligns with these polling trends and the structural advantages of incumbency in Pernambuco’s gubernatorial race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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