Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking reelection, leads the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite following recent polling gains. Multiple late-August surveys, including Datafolha and Quaest, show her at 44-47% in the first round against João Campos (PSB) at 36-40%, with the gap often exceeding the margin of error; her government approval stands near 68%. Lyra benefits from incumbency, stronger interior support, and positive economic perceptions, positioning her for a potential first-round victory on October 4. Campos, the former Recife mayor and son of ex-governor Eduardo Campos, draws backing from President Lula but trails after losing earlier leads, while minor candidates like Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible support. The pricing reflects trader assessment of these polling trends and structural advantages heading into the final campaign weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于拉克尔·利拉 67%
若昂·坎波斯 34%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 <1%
$32,723 交易量
$32,723 交易量
2026-10-04
拉克尔·利拉
67%
若昂·坎波斯
34%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
<1%
拉克尔·利拉 67%
若昂·坎波斯 34%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 <1%
$32,723 交易量
$32,723 交易量
2026-10-04
拉克尔·利拉
$15,109 交易量
67%
若昂·坎波斯
$14,539 交易量
34%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
$3,075 交易量
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking reelection, leads the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite following recent polling gains. Multiple late-August surveys, including Datafolha and Quaest, show her at 44-47% in the first round against João Campos (PSB) at 36-40%, with the gap often exceeding the margin of error; her government approval stands near 68%. Lyra benefits from incumbency, stronger interior support, and positive economic perceptions, positioning her for a potential first-round victory on October 4. Campos, the former Recife mayor and son of ex-governor Eduardo Campos, draws backing from President Lula but trails after losing earlier leads, while minor candidates like Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible support. The pricing reflects trader assessment of these polling trends and structural advantages heading into the final campaign weeks.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$32,723结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETThe Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Raquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking reelection, leads the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite following recent polling gains. Multiple late-August surveys, including Datafolha and Quaest, show her at 44-47% in the first round against João Campos (PSB) at 36-40%, with the gap often exceeding the margin of error; her government approval stands near 68%. Lyra benefits from incumbency, stronger interior support, and positive economic perceptions, positioning her for a potential first-round victory on October 4. Campos, the former Recife mayor and son of ex-governor Eduardo Campos, draws backing from President Lula but trails after losing earlier leads, while minor candidates like Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible support. The pricing reflects trader assessment of these polling trends and structural advantages heading into the final campaign weeks.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$32,723结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETRaquel Lyra, the incumbent PSD governor seeking reelection, leads the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race as the clear market favorite following recent polling gains. Multiple late-August surveys, including Datafolha and Quaest, show her at 44-47% in the first round against João Campos (PSB) at 36-40%, with the gap often exceeding the margin of error; her government approval stands near 68%. Lyra benefits from incumbency, stronger interior support, and positive economic perceptions, positioning her for a potential first-round victory on October 4. Campos, the former Recife mayor and son of ex-governor Eduardo Campos, draws backing from President Lula but trails after losing earlier leads, while minor candidates like Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible support. The pricing reflects trader assessment of these polling trends and structural advantages heading into the final campaign weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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