The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于若昂·坎波斯 90%
拉克尔·利拉 90%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 90%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
若昂·坎波斯
90%
拉克尔·利拉
90%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
90%
若昂·坎波斯 90%
拉克尔·利拉 90%
伊万·莫拉埃斯 90%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
若昂·坎波斯
$0 交易量
90%
拉克尔·利拉
$0 交易量
90%
伊万·莫拉埃斯
$0 交易量
90%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial race features a tight contest between incumbent Governor Raquel Lyra (PSD) and former Recife Mayor João Campos (PSB), with other declared candidates such as Ivan Moraes drawing minimal support. Recent April–May 2026 polling shows Campos holding modest first-round leads of 42–50% to Lyra’s 34–38%, yet trader pricing near 45% across leading names reflects uncertainty over coalition formations, undecided voters, and second-round dynamics in the October 4 election. Incumbency advantages for Lyra on state security and fiscal matters compete against Campos’ urban popularity and party infrastructure. Limited new developments since spring polls have kept probabilities balanced, though upcoming alliance announcements or campaign events could shift momentum ahead of the first-round vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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