The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷纳托·卡萨格兰德 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利 44%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷纳托·卡萨格兰德
44%
Rodney Miranda
44%
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利
44%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托
44%
莱昂纳多·蒙贾尔迪姆
44%
玛吉尼亚·马尔塔
44%
马科斯·多·瓦尔
44%
法比安教授
44%
罗丝·德·弗雷塔斯
44%
卡莱加里
43%
Evair de Melo
43%
雷纳托·卡萨格兰德 44%
Rodney Miranda 44%
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利 44%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托 44%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
雷纳托·卡萨格兰德
$0 交易量
44%
Rodney Miranda
$0 交易量
44%
塞尔吉奥·梅内格利
$0 交易量
44%
法比亚诺·孔塔拉托
$0 交易量
44%
莱昂纳多·蒙贾尔迪姆
$0 交易量
44%
玛吉尼亚·马尔塔
$0 交易量
44%
马科斯·多·瓦尔
$0 交易量
44%
法比安教授
$0 交易量
44%
罗丝·德·弗雷塔斯
$0 交易量
44%
卡莱加里
$0 交易量
43%
Evair de Melo
$0 交易量
43%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 5:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo Senate race for two seats features a highly fragmented field, with recent polling from July showing Renato Casagrande (PSB) leading but many voters undecided at 70% in spontaneous surveys. This leaves the contest for second place open among a wide array of candidates, including incumbents Fabiano Contarato (PT) and Marcos do Val (Avante), Evair de Melo (Republicanos, backed by right-wing figures), Rose de Freitas, Maguinha Malta (endorsed by Senator Magno Malta), and others. Casagrande's formal entry into the race has not yet consolidated support behind a clear runner-up, while party strategies, regional endorsements, and turnout dynamics among undecided voters sustain the tight implied probabilities. Upcoming campaign events and any new polling could shift positioning ahead of the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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